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Will Shinzo Abe’s widow take over his safe seat, or is Japan ready to move on?

  • Akie Abe fanned speculation she may take over her late husband’s constituency, viewed as the ‘safest of safe seats’, following comments at a funeral service
  • She faces opposition from the Abe family, and lack of political experience makes her no match for Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi, who is touted as a future leader

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Late Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (L) and his wife Akie are seen during a cherry blossom viewing party in April 2019. Photo: EPA-EFE/File
Julian Ryallin Tokyo
The widow of former Japanese leader Shinzo Abe is considering taking over his constituency before a by-election next spring, a move likely to be welcomed by his faction within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, but may cause friction among the Abe family and other senior party members.

Akie Abe fanned speculation she may assume the Yamaguchi No 4 constituency and then stand in the April 2023 by-election, saying during a funeral service in Nara for her husband on October 15: “My husband really loved Yamaguchi, as well as the cities of Shimonoseki and Nagato. I also want to engage in some sort of activity for this area.”

Her late husband was killed in Nara in July by a man protesting the growing influence of the Unification Church in Japanese politics.
Akie Abe, wife of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe carries a cinerary urn as she arrives at the state of funeral of her husband on September 27, 2022. Photo: Pool via Reuters
Akie Abe, wife of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe carries a cinerary urn as she arrives at the state of funeral of her husband on September 27, 2022. Photo: Pool via Reuters

Akie Abe’s comments have inspired members of the Abe faction within the LDP, which has gradually been losing influence since the former prime minister’s death, and given them new hope that his often hard-line legacy might continue. They have not been put off by Abe’s lack of political experience or the scandals that have dogged her in recent years, analysts say.

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“She has been with Abe since he began his political career, and has been able to observe him in action and the Abe faction would benefit from her coming and helping to hold the faction together,” said Jeff Kingston, director of Asian Studies at Temple University. “There are many who will see her as a safe pair of hands and the scandals in her past will probably not be enough to cause a serious problem.”

In 2017, the Abes were linked to a scandal surrounding the purchase of land at a fraction of its true value by the operators of the Moritomo Gakuen school in Osaka, as well as suggestions they benefited personally from party fundraising events.
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“If the fallout from those scandals was not enough to topple Abe, then it is hard to see how it would be a major impediment to his wife,” Kingston said, especially since the domestic media is almost exclusively focused on revelations surrounding the Unification Church.

01:47

Japanese PM Kishida orders investigation into Unification Church as his approval ratings plummet

Japanese PM Kishida orders investigation into Unification Church as his approval ratings plummet
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