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This Week in AsiaPolitics

China, Gandhi or RSS? The real reason India snubbed RCEP trade pact

  • Showman Modi invoked Gandhi as he pulled out of ‘the world’s largest trade deal’
  • Did he forget to mention protectionist Hindu nationalists and the gaping trade imbalance with China?

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Showman: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Photo: AP
Bhavan Jaipragas

Until this week, few people would have used the word “intrigue” in the same sentence as the “Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership”.

After all, even something touted as “the world’s largest free-trade deal” starts to lose a bit of pizzazz after 28 rounds and seven years of talks.

Enter Narendra Modi, India’s prime minister and a man seen by supporters and detractors alike as the ultimate showman-politician.

In a move few had expected, he announced at a summit of 16 countries involved in the deal – known as the RCEP – that India would not be signing up after all.

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It was like a bubble of hype had suddenly burst. Had all gone to plan, with the involvement of both China and India, the RCEP would have covered nearly half of the world’s population and around 40 per cent of its GDP. Yet, stripped of the world’s second-most populous nation, the hubris lay bare for all to see.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Japanese counterpart Shinzo Abe at the RCEP summit. Photo: Kyodo
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Japanese counterpart Shinzo Abe at the RCEP summit. Photo: Kyodo
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It was not meant to be this way. While India has long been a holdout in the negotiations, the 10-nation Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) bloc that conceptualised the pact in 2012 had hoped Modi was about to reveal a breakthrough in eleventh-hour talks to seal the deal.
The expectation was that New Delhi would at least say it was on the same page as the other 15 countries in wanting to bring talks to a “substantial conclusion”. That was supposed to have happened this time last year, but was pushed back a year to accommodate general elections in Australia, Thailand, Indonesia, and India.
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