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Analysis | Trump’s strike on Soleimani: Japan’s Shinzo Abe embarrassed, North Korea’s Kim Jong-un laughing: analysts

  • Assassination ends Tokyo’s efforts to mediate between Iran and US, but it can’t afford to cancel scheduled warship deployment, experts say
  • Meanwhile, North Korea has a chance to test how much trouble Trump can handle at one time

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The assassination of Soleimani has cast a shadow over Japan’s deployment of a warship to the Middle East. Photo: AP Photo
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has been “humiliated” by the assassination of one of Iran’s top military leaders – effectively ending Tokyo’s efforts to mediate between Tehran and Washington – but has little choice but to go ahead with the scheduled deployment of warships and reconnaissance aircraft to the Middle East, according to analysts.
Qassem Soleimani was killed in a US drone strike at Baghdad airport on January 3, with US President Donald Trump subsequently warning the leadership in Tehran that he was ready to attack 52 sites in Iran in the event of any retaliatory action.

The sudden escalation of tensions in the Middle East came exactly one week after the Japanese government approved the dispatch of a Maritime Self-Defence Force (MSDF) destroyer to the Middle East in February. The warship will be joined by a number of long-range patrol aircraft the following month.

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The units will conduct operations in the Gulf of Oman, the northern Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Aden and will be tasked with ensuring the security of civilian Japanese ships and personnel. The Japanese warship will not operate in the Straits of Hormuz, considered a potential flashpoint and where several tankers have been attacked in recent months.

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will have lost face as a result of US President Donald Trump’s decision to take out the Iranian military leader, analysts say. Photo: Kyodo
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will have lost face as a result of US President Donald Trump’s decision to take out the Iranian military leader, analysts say. Photo: Kyodo
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The Japanese government has been under pressure from Washington to commit units to the US-led coalition in the region but has purposefully limited its involvement to safeguarding sea lanes. Given the killing of Soleimani, Tokyo will hope to be able to remain at arms’ length, analysts believe.

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