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China-India border dispute
This Week in AsiaPolitics

Explainer | Next Ladakh? In India-China stand-off, a new front looms in Pakistan’s Gilgit-Baltistan

  • With the prospect of a brutal winter war between China and India hanging over the Himalayas, attention turns to an isolated region of disputed Kashmir
  • Gilgit-Baltistan, which faces being sucked into a two-front war, has long been fiercely loyal to Pakistan. Yet many feel this loyalty has not been reciprocated

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A signboard on the modern day Karakorum Highway in Gilgit-Baltistan points to a section of the ancient Silk Road connecting China and Pakistan. Photo: Tom Hussain
Tom Hussain
More than a month after Pakistan first unveiled plans to annex the Gilgit-Baltistan region – its only land link to China and located in disputed Kashmir – and grant its residents full citizenship rights, an ominous silence hangs over the isolated mountainous region.

Instead of celebrations, almost all the members of the general population interviewed by This Week in Asia during a three-week tour of Gilgit, Nagar, Hunza and Astore districts last month were sceptical that Islamabad would deliver on its promises.

A few smiled indulgently when asked about it, responding with a polite “Inshallah” (God willing). Most were non-committal and responded with the secular equivalent, “we’ll see”. Others just scoffed at the idea that the constitutional status of Gilgit-Baltistan could be changed even to that of a “provisional” province, because of the implications for Pakistan’s long-running dispute with India over Kashmir. Both countries claim all of Kashmir and have fought two wars over it.

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Gilgit-Baltistan. Click to enlarge.
Gilgit-Baltistan. Click to enlarge.

On Sunday, Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan said a decision had been made to move ahead with the plan, though he gave no time frame for implementation.

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Veteran political activists foresaw Gilgit-Baltistan inexorably being sucked into a potential two-front conflict arising from the military stand-off between China and India in Ladakh – an Indian-administered region separated from Pakistan-governed Gilgit-Baltistan only by the high altitude battlegrounds of the Siachen Glacier.

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