China-India border stand-off: amid push for fresh talks, a winter of uncertainty
- Freezing temperatures and heavy snowfall make de-escalation of border stand-off via troop withdrawals nearly impossible
- Lack of progress in talks between the two sides is also hampering progress toward a resolution

But there is now a larger danger looming that veterans and insiders believe would make an early resolution to the conflict improbable – a harsh winter.
In the Himalayan region of Ladakh, where the stand-off is playing out, temperatures have dipped below minus 30 degrees Celsius (minus 22 degrees Fahrenheit), with local sources saying that a heavy blanket of snow covers most terrain. Most major roads on the Indian side are either blocked by snow already or have restricted movement – including two of the main highways connecting the region to the rest of the country.
This will have implications for talks between the two sides.
India and China have both been aiming for disengagement – a process to increase the distance between troops deployed at the most forward position – and then to de-escalate, which would mean reducing the number of soldiers as well as arms from the forward areas. Military veterans who have served in the area believe that it is now nearly impossible to withdraw troops because of the logistical nightmares involved in such a move.

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