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This Week in AsiaPolitics

Analysis | India’s Modi finds his match in protesting farmers, but who will blink first?

  • Indian PM has reiterated his resolve to carry out agricultural reforms, but the protesting farmers insist they will not go home without a victory
  • The farmers say Modi’s intimidation tactics won’t work, and one analyst believes he is trying to find a way to back down ‘without losing face’

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Farmers shout slogans as they lay across rail lines on the outskirts of Amritsar on Thursday as part of a four-hour train blockade protest against India’s agricultural reforms. Photo: EPA
Amrit Dhillonin New Delhi
As thousands of protesting farmers blocked trains in parts of northern India on Thursday by sitting on rail lines, the bitter stand-off between them and Prime Minister Narendra Modi over agricultural reforms grinds on. In terms of tenacity, Modi has found his match in the farmers. Yet the farmers have in Modi an uncompromising foe who refuses to change his mind.

Mass protests over the reforms – which on Thursday saw trains at two dozen locations in Haryana, Punjab and Uttar Pradesh states blockaded for four hours by the farmers – are India’s largest in recent memory and their outcome will no doubt be a defining moment for the country.

After the failure of 11 rounds of talks, both sides have dug in. As winter fades at the three protest sites on the outskirts of the Indian capital, farmers are preparing for the long, hot Indian summer by bringing in fans, air coolers, mosquito nets and supplies of water.

The farmers from western Uttar Pradesh and the northern states of Punjab and Haryana who have been camped at the sites since November 26 have said they will not go home until the government backs down. “We are going to stay indefinitely,” said farm leader Rakesh Tikait, who insists that the three farm laws passed by parliament in September will strip farmers of their livelihoods by favouring private corporations.

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For his part, Modi reiterated in parliament last week his resolve to plough on with the reforms, repeating his arguments that they will improve farmers’ incomes by allowing them to choose who to sell their produce to while also modernising agriculture. Modi sees the reforms as a watershed moment for Indian agriculture, on which half of the 1.3 billion population depends.

Manjit Singh Arora, a 40-year-old farmer from Hoshiarpur in Punjab who is based at the Ghazipur camp at the New Delhi border, said his parents had gone home for a few days. “They wanted to exchange their woollens for lighter clothes and take the quilts back so that we can free up some space in the tractor trolley”, where their belongings are kept. “They will be back soon,” he said.

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Students hold placards demanding the release of Indian climate activist Disha Ravi, during a protest in Bangalore, India, on Tuesday. Ravi, 22, was arrested on Saturday for circulating a document on social media supporting months of massive protests by farmers. Photo: AP
Students hold placards demanding the release of Indian climate activist Disha Ravi, during a protest in Bangalore, India, on Tuesday. Ravi, 22, was arrested on Saturday for circulating a document on social media supporting months of massive protests by farmers. Photo: AP
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