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Thailand
This Week in AsiaPolitics

Thai PM Prayuth’s growing unpopularity fuels talk of early election as opposition eyes face-off with royalists

  • Amid talk of polls due 2023 will be called early, Thailand’s reformist parties are gearing up to challenge the military-royalist establishment
  • But regime change will be an uphill battle and as long as Thailand sees democracy as a threat, its ties with the US will lag those with China, an analyst says

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A person raises a three-finger salute during a protest in Bangkok on October 25, 2020. Photo: ZUMA Wire/dpa
SCMP Reporter
When Thailand’s leader Prayuth Chan-ocha visited the southern province of Nakhon Si Thammarat last month, police were quick to warn locals: “Do not throw eggs or stale eggs at the prime minister and do not curse at him.”
Prayuth, who first took power after a 2014 coup and retained it after an election in 2019, is deeply unpopular and dislike for the former general has only grown on the back of the kingdom’s struggle with the pandemic.

Strict Covid-19 lockdowns and the massive hit to Thailand’s tourism-reliant economy have sparked street protests, worsening public discontent with the military-backed royalist establishment.

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Anti-government demonstrators march in Bangkok to protest the government’s Covid-19 handling on July 18, 2021. Photo: Reuters
Anti-government demonstrators march in Bangkok to protest the government’s Covid-19 handling on July 18, 2021. Photo: Reuters

The government has cracked down on opposition parties and pushed back against calls for Prayuth’s resignation, and reforms to the monarchy and the constitution to allow for more democracy.

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Now, Prayuth’s political future is being called into question amid speculation that an election – which only needs to be held by 2023 – is imminent.

This talk has been fuelled by rifts within the military-backed ruling party, Palang Pracharath, after Prayuth tried to oust cabinet member Thammanat Prompao from his position as the party’s secretary general. Prayuth barely survived a no-confidence vote in September reportedly due to his growing unpopularity and Thammanat’s back-door dealings.

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