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Ukraine
This Week in AsiaPolitics

Will China and India’s refusal to condemn Russia over Ukraine invasion harm their reputations in Asean?

  • How Beijing and Delhi acknowledge the invasion of Ukraine could impact their standing in Asean, and their complex relations with Russia
  • Meanwhile, Indonesia is reliant on Russia for maintenance of its defence equipment and has not described the war in Ukraine as an invasion

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Chinese President Xi Jinping  and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, shake hands with leaders at the BRICS summit in Goa, India in October 2016. Photo: AP
Maria Siow
Like countless other online Chinese keyboard warriors, Yu Zhe (an online pseudonym) applauded the Russian invasion of Ukraine late last month. Agreeing with him was another online user who said “if Russia does not wage war, they will be threatened by Nato’s eastward expansion” referring to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization military alliance of European and North American countries.
These comments match what is being said at the highest levels of Chinese diplomacy, with foreign ministry spokesman Wang Wenbin on Thursday repeating Beijing’s accusations that Washington provoked the war by not ruling out Nato membership for Ukraine. But Beijing has also issued disapproval of its close ally Moscow’s actions with Foreign Minister Wang Yi saying on Tuesday that China is deeply grieved to see the outbreak of conflict and is “extremely concerned” over the damage done to civilians.

Media commentators and analysts say such “doublespeak” reflects Beijing’s increasingly complicated balancing act as fighting between Ukrainian forces and Russian troops intensifies.

03:51

Russian forces capture Chernobyl, as death toll rises from Ukraine conflict

Russian forces capture Chernobyl, as death toll rises from Ukraine conflict

But for former senior Singaporean diplomat Bilahari Kausikan, Beijing is attempting to shift the narrative on Ukraine “from the fact of invasion, to the unreliability of Nato”.

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“There is a second line if you like, that it’s all Ukraine’s fault, it’s all the [West’s] fault for encouraging Ukraine to do things that were not in Ukraine’s interests,” Kausikan said, noting that China is clearly in an awkward position.

“China has a lot of explaining to do, to itself, to its citizens, to countries around it, and I don’t think they have any good answers, not now and not in the future,” Kausikan said, adding that people are going to look at China with even more scepticism than before.

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Speaking at the same online event, former Australian prime minister Kevin Rudd said “China’s standing in Europe takes a beating, China’s standing in the rest of Asia takes a beating, and China’s standing even in large parts of the developing world takes a beating over this as well.”
A woman cries outside houses damaged by a Russian air strike in Gorenka, outside Kyiv on Wednesday. Photo: AP
A woman cries outside houses damaged by a Russian air strike in Gorenka, outside Kyiv on Wednesday. Photo: AP
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