Biden’s ‘weak’ leadership will trigger US-China conflict, Singapore ex-minister George Yeo says
- By constantly ‘poking the panda’ over Taiwan, the US will cause a conflict ‘which will explode in our faces’, the former foreign minister says
- But while deteriorating US-China ties are leaving Singapore ‘caught between a rock and a hard place’, Yeo says it is not the city state’s place to help counter Beijing
Constant provocation by the US will lead to “a bomb which will explode in our faces”, said Yeo, who is now a visiting scholar at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore.
To prevent the relationship from deteriorating further, the White House has emphasised that the US Congress is an independent branch of government and that there is no change to Washington’s one-China policy.
Yeo said the US-China meeting at the G20 summit in Indonesia would force Washington to coordinate the policy positions of different government departments. But he noted: “China wants to lower the temperature, while the key concern of the US is the midterm elections.”
Speaking in a wide-ranging interview ahead of the launch of the first of his three-part book series, Musings, which is based on interviews with media veteran Woon Tai Ho, the former official added that the US decision-making process looked fractured due to Biden’s “weak” presidency.
“If there is a strong US presidency, I don’t think we would be in danger, but because he is weak and many people are playing different games, we wouldn’t really know.
“There are people in the US who wouldn’t be averse to baiting China to make a wrong move, and then (Washington) will hit back and give China a bloody nose, or think they can,” Yeo said. “People will believe that war with China is inevitable and if it’s inevitable, the earlier you have the encounter the better, because with each year, China gets stronger.”
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“Again and again they went back, this was the basis,” Yeo said. “This was not a card, (once) you had this basis, the whole structure could be built. Turn it into a card, and the whole structure is in peril.”
Wong said the relationship between the world’s biggest economies was on a “very worrying” trajectory in the wake of Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan.
Singapore has been one of the most vocal countries in calling for the US and China to avoid a clash that could quickly escalate and affect smaller countries in the region.
The city state counts China as its top trading partner but also supports a strong US presence in Asia by allowing American troops to access its military facilities.
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When asked about Lee’s comments, Yeo said China had put a lot of the money into their media outlets and that the city state was being “influenced left, right and centre”.
“I think that’s to be expected,” said Yeo, adding that “the plurality of views is a good thing if you know the biases and views that you are accessing”.
Yeo said before China began its dramatic rise, Singapore had “latched its wagon” to the US and continued maintaining close ties with Washington even as it later began engaging Beijing.
“The US is now finding fault with China, so therefore we are finding ourselves increasingly caught between a rock and a hard place,” Yeo said, adding that in terms of keeping sea lanes open, US presence in Asia was necessary.
It was not Singapore’s place to counter China, he said. “That is not our game. It’s the US game; it’s Japan’s game, but we’re not part of this.”