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North Korea
This Week in AsiaPolitics

North Korea tensions: why is there a debate about accepting Pyongyang’s nuclear state status?

  • Since North Korea is unlikely to give up its weapons, accepting its nuclear programme could allow for some degree of inspection, one analyst said
  • Others argue that acceptance will undermine the global non-proliferation treaty and encourage other governments to undertake nuclear ambitions

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Submarine-launched ballistic missiles are seen during a military parade celebrating the 8th Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea (WPK) in Pyongyang. Photo:  KCNA/KNS via AFP/File
Maria Siow
As North Korea has taken steps to heighten tensions on the Korean peninsula in recent months, some analysts have floated the possibility of accepting the country as a nuclear state, arguing that it might actually make the region safer.

Jeffrey Lewis, an expert on nuclear non-proliferation at the US-based Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, argued earlier this month that Washington needs to contemplate the unthinkable, which is to accept that North Korea is a nuclear state.

“[This might] be the best way to reduce the persistent and growing threat of an inadvertent conflict on the Korean peninsula by removing a major obstacle that prevents North Korea and the United States from meeting to work out their differences,” Lewis wrote in The New York Times.

Brad Glosserman, non-resident senior adviser at the Honolulu-based Pacific Forum, noted that North Korea’s belief that adversaries want it defenceless drives it to improve its capabilities.

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“On all counts, then, it is better to acknowledge nuclear capability now,” Glosserman wrote in the Japan Times last week.

Speaking to This Week in Asia, analysts said even though accepting North Korea as a nuclear state may help manage tensions in the region, it would be impossible for Washington to accept.

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Not only will the acceptance undermine the global non-proliferation treaty and encourage other countries to pursue their nuclear ambitions, it would also indicate that the US has failed in its North Korea policy, analysts added.

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