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South Korea
This Week in AsiaPolitics

‘Shrimp among whales’: South Korea faces a US vs China dilemma

South Korea is coming under intense US pressure to pick a side, even as its new president would prefer to equivocate

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South Korean protesters tear a banner showing a caricature of US President Donald Trump as a robber during a rally in Seoul against Washington’s tariff policy on July 27. Photo: AFP
Park Chan-kyong
The Korean peninsula has once again become a fulcrum of global anxiety, as South Korea grapples with intensifying pressure from its US ally to take sides in Washington’s deepening rivalry with China, all while North Korea rattles its sabres on Seoul’s doorstep.

Analysts warn that Seoul must tread this delicate geopolitical tightrope with unequalled agility to avoid being drawn into a major-power confrontation.

“As tensions escalate between superpowers, South Korea must retain strategic flexibility – otherwise, it risks becoming the proverbial shrimp crushed between two fighting whales,” said Chang Yong-seok, a senior researcher at Seoul National University’s Institute for Peace and Unification Studies.

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Chang, who is also a former presidential adviser on national security, argues that Beijing must also play a constructive role if it seeks to ease US pressure on South Korea.

The national flags of South Korea and China flutter in the wind before the arrival of Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Seoul last year. Photo: AFP
The national flags of South Korea and China flutter in the wind before the arrival of Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Seoul last year. Photo: AFP

“To create more diplomatic room to manoeuvre for Seoul, China should take visible steps to stabilise the Korean peninsula, including restraining North Korea’s provocations,” he told This Week in Asia.

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But the room for manoeuvre is shrinking. Koh Yu-hwan, emeritus professor of North Korean studies at Dongguk University, described South Korea as being mired in a policy dilemma, particularly regarding any potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait.

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