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Lai See

Reading Time:3 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP

Even financial experts get a kick out of the beautiful game

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Constitutional reform, Hong Kong's housing shortage, the June 4 anniversary? They can all take a back seat this month because what really matters is who is going to win the football World Cup.

Many view Fifa, football's global governing body with 208 member countries - even more than the United Nations - as one big powerful business organisation. It is fair to assume that the World Cup has a significant impact on the global economy as sports sponsorship is big business even during economic downturns.

Sponsorship for this showcase sporting event has risen from US$2 billion in the 1980s to more than US$16 billion in the 1990s. This year, Fifa alone has banked US$3.2 billion in media and marketing revenue. Sponsors have little to lose, given that the month-long tournament attracts billions of viewers worldwide.

Economists have already predicted that South Africa's economy will grow by 2.3 per cent this year.

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That is precisely why some of the finest brains at Goldman Sachs have taken time off from Wall Street to take a stab at calculating 'objective probabilities' to see who will take home this year's World Cup.

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