David Dodwell

David Dodwell

David Dodwell is the executive director of the Hong Kong-APEC Trade Policy Study Group, a trade policy think tank.

Latest from David Dodwell

Inside Out | By painting its contest with China as a ‘good versus evil’ struggle, the US misses the mark

A recently released study revealing that Chinese citizens’ satisfaction with their government has increased since 2003 sits awkwardly against the US picture of China as a tyrannical state.

27 Jul 2020 - 1:09AM

A recently released study revealing that Chinese citizens’ satisfaction with their government has increased since 2003 sits awkwardly against the US picture of China as a tyrannical state.

By painting its contest with China as a ‘good versus evil’ struggle, the US misses the mark
Outside In | Coronavirus has dealt class of 2020 a bad hand, but China’s class of ’77 offers an encouraging lesson

While graduating in a recession year can hit earnings and career prospects, life eventually rights itself, as the experience of the first batch of Chinese university students who graduated after the Cultural Revolution shows.

3 Aug 2020 - 7:14PM

While graduating in a recession year can hit earnings and career prospects, life eventually rights itself, as the experience of the first batch of Chinese university students who graduated after the Cultural Revolution shows.

Coronavirus has dealt class of 2020 a bad hand, but China’s class of ’77 offers an encouraging lesson
Inside Out | Under Trump, US narrative of the China threat is simply false

China’s pattern of behaviour and priorities have been largely consistent since 1978, even if the pace of its opening up is not to the West’s liking. While Beijing has become more assertive internationally, the true system-breaker has been Washington.

19 Jul 2020 - 11:18PM

China’s pattern of behaviour and priorities have been largely consistent since 1978, even if the pace of its opening up is not to the West’s liking. While Beijing has become more assertive internationally, the true system-breaker has been Washington.

Under Trump, US narrative of the China threat is simply false
Outside In | Amid the rush to condemn the national security law, let’s count the freedoms Hong Kong still has

The evidence that Hong Kong’s freedoms have been suppressed is poor. An honest position should be to acknowledge that a security law is needed, and emphasise that Hong Kong’s future depends on Beijing’s respect for its high degree of autonomy.

18 Jul 2020 - 12:36PM

The evidence that Hong Kong’s freedoms have been suppressed is poor. An honest position should be to acknowledge that a security law is needed, and emphasise that Hong Kong’s future depends on Beijing’s respect for its high degree of autonomy.

Amid the rush to condemn the national security law, let’s count the freedoms Hong Kong still has
Inside Out | In battle for WTO leadership, the real fight is against paralysis of the global trade system

In the face of US-China tensions, Trump’s ‘America First’ unilateralism and the economic maelstrom whipped up by Covid-19, the WTO’s new leader will be challenged to lead the charge in championing the benefits of multilateralism and free trade.

12 Jul 2020 - 8:34PM

In the face of US-China tensions, Trump’s ‘America First’ unilateralism and the economic maelstrom whipped up by Covid-19, the WTO’s new leader will be challenged to lead the charge in championing the benefits of multilateralism and free trade.

In battle for WTO leadership, the real fight is against paralysis of the global trade system
Opinion | Why has Pakistan been left out of China and East Asia’s economic development boom?

Despite Southeast Asia and China’s astonishing development story, some parts of the world have not shared in that progress. Conflict, radical Islam, ferocious local politics and challenging conditions have combined to impede Pakistan’s development.

11 Jul 2020 - 7:14AM

Despite Southeast Asia and China’s astonishing development story, some parts of the world have not shared in that progress. Conflict, radical Islam, ferocious local politics and challenging conditions have combined to impede Pakistan’s development.

Why has Pakistan been left out of China and East Asia’s economic development boom?
Inside Out | Why disruption, not the national security law, is the main force pushing Hongkongers to leave

Most international media will blame the surge in emigration inquiries on the national security law, but that’s myopic. People will leave not because of communism or a lack of unfettered democracy, but over never-ending disruption to their lives and their children’s.

6 Jul 2020 - 9:45AM

Most international media will blame the surge in emigration inquiries on the national security law, but that’s myopic. People will leave not because of communism or a lack of unfettered democracy, but over never-ending disruption to their lives and their children’s.

Why disruption, not the national security law, is the main force pushing Hongkongers to leave
Outside In | Why national security law will not be the death of Hong Kong, just as the handover wasn’t

Hong Kong is valuable to China, just as it was in 1997, so Beijing must not ignore international alarm over the law and apply it narrowly.

4 Jul 2020 - 7:09AM

Hong Kong is valuable to China, just as it was in 1997, so Beijing must not ignore international alarm over the law and apply it narrowly.

Why national security law will not be the death of Hong Kong, just as the handover wasn’t
Inside Out | Expect the coronavirus pandemic bankruptcy tsunami to be worse than predicted

The global recession will be worse than forecast, with bankruptcies in Hong Kong likely to exceed those during Sars and the global financial crisis. Quick and cheap online dispute resolution systems are urgently needed across the region to reduce the pain.

29 Jun 2020 - 9:42AM

The global recession will be worse than forecast, with bankruptcies in Hong Kong likely to exceed those during Sars and the global financial crisis. Quick and cheap online dispute resolution systems are urgently needed across the region to reduce the pain.

Expect the coronavirus pandemic bankruptcy tsunami to be worse than predicted
Outside In | The EU-China courtship is flagging. More action and less talk, from Beijing, can rekindle the relationship

Trump may have pushed China and the EU closer, but the US-China phase one trade deal, slow progress on a comprehensive investment agreement and Beijing’s foot-dragging over economic liberalisation are straining the relationship.

26 Jun 2020 - 10:23PM

Trump may have pushed China and the EU closer, but the US-China phase one trade deal, slow progress on a comprehensive investment agreement and Beijing’s foot-dragging over economic liberalisation are straining the relationship.

The EU-China courtship is flagging. More action and less talk, from Beijing, can rekindle the relationship
Inside Out | Coronavirus hastening a global fight over taxes on carbon and digital services

Governments around the world looking for new revenue sources are targeting tech giants, most of which are American, for taxes. EU’s plan to tax carbon at its borders also threatens to launch a new trade war with the US.

21 Jun 2020 - 7:21PM

Governments around the world looking for new revenue sources are targeting tech giants, most of which are American, for taxes. EU’s plan to tax carbon at its borders also threatens to launch a new trade war with the US.

Coronavirus hastening a global fight over taxes on carbon and digital services
Opinion | Protests in Hong Kong and abroad show the destructive power of deep divisions

Police across the globe have come under fire for using excessive force in the face of peaceful protests whose focus has moved from the climate crisis. Healing the wounds will require restoring tolerance, cooperation and trust in legal and political institutions.

20 Jun 2020 - 6:53AM

Police across the globe have come under fire for using excessive force in the face of peaceful protests whose focus has moved from the climate crisis. Healing the wounds will require restoring tolerance, cooperation and trust in legal and political institutions.

Protests in Hong Kong and abroad show the destructive power of deep divisions
Inside Out | Why market fears of an Air China takeover of Cathay Pacific proved unfounded

The Cathay bailout was, in the end, remarkably similar to those of other airlines around the world. Air China, Cathay’s second-largest shareholder, is facing a coronavirus crisis and any rescue plan could also have jeopardised the city’s aviation rights.

15 Jun 2020 - 9:59AM

The Cathay bailout was, in the end, remarkably similar to those of other airlines around the world. Air China, Cathay’s second-largest shareholder, is facing a coronavirus crisis and any rescue plan could also have jeopardised the city’s aviation rights.

Why market fears of an Air China takeover of Cathay Pacific proved  unfounded
Outside In | Death of Hong Kong? Asia’s top financial hub can’t be ‘killed off’ by Macau, Hainan or even Shanghai

Whatever the international angst over the new security law, Beijing will not let anyone hinder Hong Kong’s growth, or dilute its contribution to China’s re-engagement with the global economy.

13 Jun 2020 - 6:55AM

Whatever the international angst over the new security law, Beijing will not let anyone hinder Hong Kong’s growth, or dilute its contribution to China’s re-engagement with the global economy.

Death of Hong Kong? Asia’s top financial hub can’t be ‘killed off’ by Macau, Hainan or even Shanghai
Inside Out | How hard can Donald Trump hit Hong Kong over the national security law? Not very

Even if the US levies a 25 per cent tariff levied on Hong Kong’s exports, that would affect only 0.1 per cent of GDP while imposing sanctions on Hong Kong and Chinese officials is easier said than done.

8 Jun 2020 - 1:06AM

Even if the US levies a 25 per cent tariff levied on Hong Kong’s exports, that would affect only 0.1 per cent of GDP while imposing sanctions on Hong Kong and Chinese officials is easier said than done.

How hard can Donald Trump hit Hong Kong over the national security law? Not very
Outside In | What do Trump’s base, China’s National People’s Congress and Hong Kong’s protest movement have in common? A human tendency towards bias

Conflicts over race issues in the US and a national security law in Hong Kong are no less distressing for proving what we know – that humans are hard-wired to be biased.

6 Jun 2020 - 1:00PM

Conflicts over race issues in the US and a national security law in Hong Kong are no less distressing for proving what we know – that humans are hard-wired to be biased.

What do Trump’s base, China’s National People’s Congress and Hong Kong’s protest movement have in common? A human tendency towards bias
Inside Out | What Trump can’t see: Beijing is not bent on suppressing Hong Kong’s freedoms

As with Minneapolis, so with Hong Kong: watchers from afar can fail to see clearly. The US decision to punish China over Hong Kong’s security law is mischievous, even malicious, and fails to recognise how much Beijing needs Hong Kong to thrive.

1 Jun 2020 - 3:25AM

As with Minneapolis, so with Hong Kong: watchers from afar can fail to see clearly. The US decision to punish China over Hong Kong’s security law is mischievous, even malicious, and fails to recognise how much Beijing needs Hong Kong to thrive.

What Trump can’t see: Beijing is not bent on suppressing Hong Kong’s freedoms
Outside In | The next pandemic might come from a factory farm in China or the US. Is the world prepared?

Modern intensive farming could well be a cause of future pandemics. As the world’s appetite for meat grows, the food industry is contributing to the overuse of antibiotics, and turbocharging the spread of antibiotic-resistant diseases.

30 May 2020 - 3:43AM

Modern intensive farming could well be a cause of future pandemics. As the world’s appetite for meat grows, the food industry is contributing to the overuse of antibiotics, and turbocharging the spread of antibiotic-resistant diseases.

The next pandemic might come from a factory farm in China or the US. Is the world prepared?
Inside Out | China must raise its soft power game, especially at a time Trump’s America is losing friends

Donald ‘America First’ Trump has gifted China an extraordinary diplomatic opportunity, yet Beijing has so far squandered it with its muscular policies in the South China Sea, and on Taiwan and Hong Kong.

24 May 2020 - 9:36PM

Donald ‘America First’ Trump has gifted China an extraordinary diplomatic opportunity, yet Beijing has so far squandered it with its muscular policies in the South China Sea, and on Taiwan and Hong Kong.

China must raise its soft power game, especially at a time Trump’s America is losing friends
Outside In | How to design coronavirus pandemic ‘travel bubbles’? Apec could provide a template

Apec’s business working group has technical expertise required to design a travel card setting ground rules for a Covid-19 travel recovery scheme.

23 May 2020 - 8:07AM

Apec’s business working group has technical expertise required to design a travel card setting ground rules for a Covid-19 travel recovery scheme.

How to design coronavirus pandemic ‘travel bubbles’? Apec could provide a template
Inside Out | World’s quest for a Covid-19 vaccine is in danger of becoming a free-for-all as nationalism surges

As the vaccine scrabble turns ugly, international cooperation is desperately needed to ensure those with greatest need are served first, rather than the richest and most powerful, and that the vulnerable are not left behind.

18 May 2020 - 3:05AM

As the vaccine scrabble turns ugly, international cooperation is desperately needed to ensure those with greatest need are served first, rather than the richest and most powerful, and that the vulnerable are not left behind.

World’s quest for a Covid-19 vaccine is in danger of becoming a free-for-all as nationalism surges
Outside In | Donald Trump’s tariffs are costing Americans billions when they can least afford it, but he’s not backing down

As unemployment spikes in the US, lower tariffs would bring relief to the consumers and companies bearing the brunt of the trade war. Yet the Trump administration seems set on a course of destructive protectionism not seen since the 1930s.

16 May 2020 - 4:15AM

As unemployment spikes in the US, lower tariffs would bring relief to the consumers and companies bearing the brunt of the trade war. Yet the Trump administration seems set on a course of destructive protectionism not seen since the 1930s.

Donald Trump’s tariffs are costing Americans billions when they can least afford it, but he’s not backing down
Inside Out | How the coronavirus pandemic can help us prepare for the next predictable surprise – the climate crisis

Our chaotic global management of the Covid-19 pandemic is a warning that we must better prepare for the coming climate crisis. But will our political and business leaders listen?

10 May 2020 - 9:40PM

Our chaotic global management of the Covid-19 pandemic is a warning that we must better prepare for the coming climate crisis. But will our political and business leaders listen?

How the coronavirus pandemic can help us prepare for the next predictable surprise – the climate crisis
Outside In | As global travel and tourism braces for a long slump, can Hong Kong overcome this existential challenge?

With no quick recovery in sight, Hong Kong’s massive hospitality sector is in peril. Economies with a big domestic tourism sector can hope for some respite – but will Hong Kong roll out the welcome mat for mainlanders?

9 May 2020 - 6:54AM

With no quick recovery in sight, Hong Kong’s massive hospitality sector is in peril. Economies with a big domestic tourism sector can hope for some respite – but will Hong Kong roll out the welcome mat for mainlanders?

As global travel and tourism braces for a long slump, can Hong Kong overcome this existential challenge?
Inside Out | If you think you have it bad amid the coronavirus, millions of migrant workers have it far worse

Even at the best of times, the world’s 164 million international migrant workers tend to get a raw deal. In a time of coronavirus, many have lost their jobs and are unable to send home remittances that their families and countries rely on.

4 May 2020 - 3:08AM

Even at the best of times, the world’s 164 million international migrant workers tend to get a raw deal. In a time of coronavirus, many have lost their jobs and are unable to send home remittances that their families and countries rely on.

If you think you have it bad amid the coronavirus, millions of migrant workers have it far worse
Outside In | Why US-China decoupling is a dangerous mistake and tantamount to self-harm

The World Bank expects Covid-19 to impact commodities like oil and platinum, and even the Opec cartel itself. Its report shows how central China is to commodity trade, and why the US would inflict more harm on itself by decoupling.

2 May 2020 - 3:28AM

The World Bank expects Covid-19 to impact commodities like oil and platinum, and even the Opec cartel itself. Its report shows how central China is to commodity trade, and why the US would inflict more harm on itself by decoupling.

Why US-China decoupling is a dangerous mistake and tantamount to self-harm
Inside Out | Will coronavirus pandemic transform the university sector as the Black Death did in the Middle Ages?

The plague that swept through Europe in the late 1340s shut many universities but ultimately led to a world view that valued science.

26 Apr 2020 - 8:42PM

The plague that swept through Europe in the late 1340s shut many universities but ultimately led to a world view that valued science.

Will coronavirus pandemic transform the university sector as the Black Death did in the Middle Ages?
Outside In | Post-Covid-19: the world is facing a hunger pandemic and other disasters of biblical proportions

Locusts, pestilence of livestock, disease. The 10 plagues of Egypt seem to be playing out in today’s world, as locusts invade Africa, pigs die in China and Covid-19 stalks the earth. Next, shutdowns might trigger a hunger pandemic.

25 Apr 2020 - 3:13PM

Locusts, pestilence of livestock, disease. The 10 plagues of Egypt seem to be playing out in today’s world, as locusts invade Africa, pigs die in China and Covid-19 stalks the earth. Next, shutdowns might trigger a hunger pandemic.

Post-Covid-19: the world is facing a hunger pandemic and other disasters of biblical proportions
Inside Out | The hard truth about the global coronavirus pandemic: it can’t be fought off by countries working alone

Scientists around the world are working together on Covid-19 research and possible vaccines. But they can’t by themselves bring the crisis under control, when the world’s leaders are blaming one another instead of strengthening multilateral cooperation.

19 Apr 2020 - 7:00PM

Scientists around the world are working together on Covid-19 research and possible vaccines. But they can’t by themselves bring the crisis under control, when the world’s leaders are blaming one another instead of strengthening multilateral cooperation.

The hard truth about the global coronavirus pandemic: it can’t be fought off by countries working alone
Outside In | With the aviation industry stalling due to the coronavirus, the global economy cannot take off too

As Covid-19 lockdowns can only be relaxed gradually, the economic fallout is set to be deeper than some wishful thinkers predict. With the beating heart of our globalised world bleeding losses, so too will the related travel, tourism, hotel and catering businesses.

18 Apr 2020 - 1:14PM

As Covid-19 lockdowns can only be relaxed gradually, the economic fallout is set to be deeper than some wishful thinkers predict. With the beating heart of our globalised world bleeding losses, so too will the related travel, tourism, hotel and catering businesses.

With the aviation industry stalling due to the coronavirus, the global economy cannot take off too