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Opinion
Cary Huang

Opinion | China’s Silk Road ventures carry financial risks as well as political rewards

Cary Huang says “One Belt, One Road” may be a largely sensible strategy for China’s government but making investments in unstable regions clearly has its dangers

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Dreams of profit or influence in “One Belt, One Road” countries such as Iran could go up in smoke. Photo: Reuters

President Xi Jinping’s ( 習近平 ) “One Belt, One Road” programme could be thought of as “killing three birds with one stone”.

Economically, the initiative aims to help Chinese companies explore overseas markets along the ancient trade route that linked the Middle Kingdom with the larger part of Eurasia, formally established during the Han dynasty. The programme is also an effort to tackle overcapacity in many industries at home, nurture domestic structural reform and boost growth.

Politically, China needs true friends and political allies to offset its ideological isolation in a post-cold-war world, following the demise of socialism in the early 1990s. Beijing wants to resume its leadership status in the developing world through reviving the once widely known non-aligned movement.

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President Xi Jinping meets Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran. Photo: Reuters
President Xi Jinping meets Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in Tehran. Photo: Reuters
Diplomatically, China’s aggressive economic expansion is part of a strategy to expand its sphere of influence to forge a status equal to that of the United States and to resume China’s position as the global centre of trade, culture and politics, as it was some 2,000 years ago.
Beijing has dramatically scaled up its loan book to foreign nations

Armed with more than US$3 trillion in foreign reserves, Beijing has dramatically scaled up its loan book to foreign nations, mostly developing economies that are largely ignored by international investors and Western lenders.

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Xi’s recent whirlwind trip to Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt was one such mission: his aim, to rebuild the “Silk Road” routes while also seeking to promote China’s image and influence as a global power.

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