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The Singapore political system may prove a difficult model for China, whatever the West thinks

Tom Plate says a changing Singapore, though increasingly seen now as an acceptable model for China, may be a hard act to follow after all

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Tom Plate says a changing Singapore, though increasingly seen now as an acceptable model for China, may be a hard act to follow after all
As a model to emulate, Singapore becomes a somewhat problematic target when it itself is in flux. Illustration: Craig Stephens
As a model to emulate, Singapore becomes a somewhat problematic target when it itself is in flux. Illustration: Craig Stephens
Singapore has been an upwardly mobile Asian phenomenon for decades. But Americans were the last to realise the extent of the achievement. Until recently, the US establishment media smugly scoffed at this soft-authoritarian-style city state.

But, over time, facts do matter: lately, its role in Asia – especially as a non-ideological signpost for those leaders of China who wish to implant further mile-markers down pragmatism road – is increasingly apparent.

Singapore has been an absolute stand-out, particularly for a small city state (think Norway, sort of, but warmer). It bobs at the top of the charts in the gold-medal statistical metrics: high per capita income, exceptional governance, internationally lauded health care, scary-smart kids in well-run schools and so on. Its ministers and civil servants generally outshine other countries’, especially in ethically challenged Southeast Asia. It has sported notable prime ministers: the late, legendary whizz Lee Kuan Yew; the underappreciated, charming Goh Chok Tong, and, since 2004, the well-serving, intelligently determined Lee Hsein Loong.

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All were nurtured in the ultra clean, tightly wound People’s Action Party (PAP), which until relatively recently hovered over Singaporean politics, not wholly unlike the Chinese Communist Party in the way no one seriously challenged it. But the PAP is now under a measure of other-party competition (with some even hailing the birth of genuine two-party democracy).

Singapore’s founding prime minister Lee Kuan Yew congratulates his son, newly installed Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, as president S. R. Nathan looks on in 2004. Recent health challenges remind Singapore that nothing is forever: the elder Lee died last year, the prime minister suffered a collapse during a speech this month and Nathan died last week at 92. Photo: AFP
Singapore’s founding prime minister Lee Kuan Yew congratulates his son, newly installed Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, as president S. R. Nathan looks on in 2004. Recent health challenges remind Singapore that nothing is forever: the elder Lee died last year, the prime minister suffered a collapse during a speech this month and Nathan died last week at 92. Photo: AFP

Who can step up as Singapore’s next leader?

Recent health downturns within the reigning elite serve to remind Singaporeans that nothing is forever. Last year, at 91, founding prime minister Lee Kuan Yew died; earlier this month, current prime minister Lee, one of Lee Kuan Yew’s two sons, suffered a collapse during a speech and had to be revived; also this month, an ailing finance minister emerged from hospital, and a former president, S. R. Nathan, passed on, to a proper state funeral.

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