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Thailand
Opinion

Thai military’s grip on power won’t ease any time soon

Pavin Chachavalpongpun says the latest postponement of a long-promised general election underlines the junta’s fear of the Shinawatra family’s lingering influence, at a time when the new king is still settling in

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A pro-democracy protester takes part in a demonstration against the Thai junta delaying the general election, in Bangkok, on January 27. Photo: Reuters
Pavin Chachavalpongpun

Last week, Thailand’s junta-appointed legislature voted to delay the implementation of an election law that would effectively postpone the general election to 2019. This is the fourth time the generals have broken their promise to return power to the voters.

If investors’ confidence is shaken, it might threaten the Thai economy and the position of the military government. But, for the Thai junta, current political uncertainties may threaten its long-term political interests.

The postponement possibly derives from the fact that, following the death of King Bhumibol Adulyadej, Thai politics is in flux. Thais may have already welcomed their new king, Maha Vajiralongkorn, but his long absence from Thailand has created a power vacuum filled with challenges, particularly from the opposition.
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Therefore, the military relies mostly on its delaying tactic, which also gives the junta room to manoeuvre, to continue battling a perceived threat from the Shinawatra faction.

Thailand’s junta emerges from one year of mourning stronger than ever

For over a decade now, the Shinawatra family has served as an excuse for the military’s seizure of political power. Within eight years, the military staged two coups, toppling Thaksin in 2006 and his sister Yingluck in 2014. Both are currently fugitives from Thai law.
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Thailand’s former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra arrives at parliament in Bangkok, on January 22, 2015. Yingluck fled the country in 2017 to evade a prison sentence after she was convicted of negligence. Photo: AP
Thailand’s former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra arrives at parliament in Bangkok, on January 22, 2015. Yingluck fled the country in 2017 to evade a prison sentence after she was convicted of negligence. Photo: AP
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