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Macroscope
Opinion
David Brown

Macroscope | How Donald Trump’s ‘America first’ policy could trigger an earthquake in the global economic order

David Brown says a new age of US unilateralism is putting world economic growth at risk, with the BRIC bloc particularly vulnerable

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Chinese employees sew US flags at a factory in Fuyang in China’s eastern Anhui province on July 13. As the Sino-US trade war rages, China’s economy is being increasingly squeezed. Photo: AFP

The adage says that when the US sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold. It is also said when the US shines, the rest of the world basks in its glow. When the US does well, the global economy generally enjoys the balm of stronger growth and faster world trade flows.

Maybe things are changing and US munificence is just another victim of US President Donald Trump’s “America first” policies. Trump’s deepening trade war and currency spat with China is a portent that America wants it all. A tectonic shift is happening in the world order right now.
In the past, the US has traditionally fulfilled a vital role as a world leader, setting the standard for global recovery, policy harmonisation and fostering economic development. The New Deal during the 1930s Great Depression, the Marshall Plan for European reconstruction after the second world war and more recent US policy initiatives to spur recovery after the 2008 crash are huge milestones in America’s willingness to take centre-stage in securing a better future for the world.
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But now, “America first” is defining a new yardstick for an inward-looking US. Trump wants faster US growth, more domestic jobs, less import-swamping from America’s trade rivals, lower interest rates, a weaker dollar, and a farewell to multilateralism unless it is on US terms. No matter that head-to-head diplomacy, political confrontation and the threat of a world trade war is tipping global stability over the edge.

A new age of US unilateralism has begun. World growth is suddenly at risk.

Watch: US soybean farmers hope for an early end to trade war

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