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Yuan
Opinion
Neal Kimberley

Macroscope | China’s move to prop up the yuan is a smart strategy to defuse trade tensions with the US

Neal Kimberley lauds the timing of the PBOC’s move to support the renminbi’s value, which came on the heels of renewed US accusations of currency manipulation and at the end of the latest round of China-US talks

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Chinese officials prepare the flags for a China-US meeting on the sidelines of the G20 leaders’ summit in Hamburg, Germany, in July last year. US President Donald Trump has made no secret of his views on China’s currency policy, saying often that Beijing manipulates its currency as a trade advantage. Photo: Reuters
China-US trade tensions remain high but it would appear Beijing has decided that, for now at least, the disadvantages associated with a still weaker renminbi outweigh the benefits. Friday saw the People’s Bank of China publicly acknowledge that banks were again employing an adjustment, the “counter-cyclical factor”, to keep the daily pricing of the yuan’s value relatively stable.

It was a well-timed and strategically useful announcement.

Currently, a weak yuan prevails, and re-applying the adjustment helps attenuate pressure for yuan depreciation and undermines accusations that China has been deliberately pushing the renminbi lower to help offset the effects of US trade tariffs. US President Donald Trump told Reuters on August 21 that China was manipulating its currency.
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As yuan weakness works against US export competitiveness and provides China with some protection from the impact of US tariffs, it can easily be characterised by the White House as currency manipulation, although in reality Washington does tend to apply a double standard on the issue.

The PBOC’s re-application of the counter-cyclical factor should play well in Washington when, as now, the adjustment lends itself to a firmer yuan than otherwise might have been seen, even if the re-application is clearly a form of interference in the free-market pricing of the Chinese currency.

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Yuan weakness works against US export competitiveness and provides China with some protection from the impact of US trade tariffs. Thus, the PBOC move should play well in Washington. Photo: Reuters
Yuan weakness works against US export competitiveness and provides China with some protection from the impact of US trade tariffs. Thus, the PBOC move should play well in Washington. Photo: Reuters
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