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Letters | Why Hong Kong’s fate hangs on Trump impeachment trial outcome
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Beijing’s ongoing response to the democratic movement in Hong Kong may be affected by the outcome of Donald Trump’s impeachment trial in the US Senate.
It is anticipated that the US president will be acquitted. But the critical issue is not his likely acquittal but the circumstances surrounding this action.
If Trump survives in office because of a political whitewash by Republican senators, his power in both domestic and international affairs will be significantly weakened. But if Republicans make a convincing argument in his acquittal, Trump’s political standing will be enhanced, as will his political power.
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Either outcome will have a major impact on Hong Kong. In the first case, a weakened Trump will embolden Beijing in dealing with him. This response will impact on trade negotiations and Hong Kong. Beijing is likely to increase the pressure to restrict democratic forces in Hong Kong in the absence of any countervailing force from the US.

In the second case, in dealing with a stronger Trump, Beijing is likely to take a more hands-off response to Hong Kong.
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