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Letters | Why modern monetary theory – or printing money at will – makes for a bleak future

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Packs of freshly printed US dollar notes are processed for bundling and packaging at the US Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington in July 2018. Photo: AFP
Letters

Once upon a time, most people were employed in agriculture, and economic activity was relatively subdued. Then came the Industrial Revolution and agriculture began to shrink as the population moved into cities and started turning raw materials into products at an ever increasing pace.

More money was required to enable commerce to expand and one by one countries abandoned the gold standard as a backing for currency. Greater economic activity required governments to increase money supply to facilitate commerce. Hence Keynesian policies became de rigueur.

Unfortunately in the 70s the steep increase in oil prices caused stagflation. We saw the rise of Milton Friedman and supply-side economics, popularised by US president Ronald Reagan and British prime minister Margaret Thatcher. Taxes were cut and unions smashed, causing the wealthy to become wealthier and budgets to explode.

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With wages eviscerated, the middle class was hollowed out in the Western world and with China emerging as the world’s low-cost producer, inflation died. Friedman’s ideas were discarded in favour of modern monetary theory.
Nobel Prize winning economist Professor Milton Friedman (second right) and his wife Rose (right) chat with a guest at a welcome party during his visit to Hong Kong in 1988. Photo: M. Chan
Nobel Prize winning economist Professor Milton Friedman (second right) and his wife Rose (right) chat with a guest at a welcome party during his visit to Hong Kong in 1988. Photo: M. Chan
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Basically, central banks can just keep printing money to maintain economic activity. This theory works wonders for the asset classes owned by the well-heeled. Inflation remains stubbornly low, despite all the money central banks print.

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