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Letters | Why Australia should think twice before rattling sabres over Taiwan

  • A US-China war over Taiwan would be devastating, with no winners, not even Australia, which has profited inordinately from China’s rise

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Australian Defence Minister Peter Dutton at a press conference at HMAS Stirling Royal Australian Navy base in Perth, Western Australia, on October 29. Photo: EPA-EFE
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Australia’s Defence Minister Peter Dutton recently said it would be “inconceivable” for Australia not to join the United States in military action against China if the superpower decided to reclaim Taiwan. Dutton’s statement all but unilaterally committed Australia to join a US-led war against China should the Communist Party decide to enforce its sovereignty over Taiwan.

Where is the public or parliamentary debate in Australia about political leaders potentially engaging the nation in another conflict that follows the US into battle? At present, the prime minister and cabinet get to decide whether to commit defence personnel abroad. Federal parliament has no say in Australia’s involvement in overseas military conflicts.

Politicians tell Australians that we want peace with China, but actively trade insults with our largest trading partner: sledge diplomacy by media. Anti-China rhetoric in Australia has ramped up this year. Home Affairs Secretary Michael Pezzullo warned in his Anzac Day message in April that the “drums of war” were beating, amid rising tensions with China. Some politicians consider China an existential threat to humanity.

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Talking Post: Kevin Rudd unpacks the risk of war between China and the US with Yonden Lhatoo

Talking Post: Kevin Rudd unpacks the risk of war between China and the US with Yonden Lhatoo

Australia has profited inordinately from the long-term development of China into a global superpower. We have readily supplied the resources to help build China’s economy and defence capability, as well as educate its citizens. Australia has prospered from the rivers of gold that flow from its trade with China. Chinese export dollars fund our governments, hospitals, schools and infrastructure.

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Trade between Australia and China was a whopping A$251.1 billion (US$182 billion) for the 2019-20 financial year, making up 28.8 per cent of total two-way trade, according to the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. The US was our second most important two-way trading partner at A$80.8 billion (9.2 per cent). Australia’s exports to China in 2019-20 totalled A$167.6 billion (35.3 per cent) compared to imports of A$83.4 billion (21 per cent).

A US-China war over Taiwan would be devastating for an increasingly interconnected world. There will be no winners, including Australia. The capabilities of the US and China are such that neither can be militarily defeated. Just as with the Covid-19 pandemic, we’re all in this together. The US and China are in a symbiotic relationship, where a negotiated peaceful coexistence is the only sustainable outcome for each other and humanity. Australian politicians should take heed the next time they decide to rattle their sabres at China.
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Dr Michael Walton, clinical psychologist, New South Wales

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