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Taiwan election 2024
OpinionLetters

Letters | Why Taiwanese are casting a vote for Asia, and the global economy

  • Readers discuss the global significance of Taiwan’s election, and whether Hong Kong should drive on the right

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People visiting a temple stand near the words for “democracy” in Taipei on January 7. Photo: AP
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Taiwan’s election requires a nuanced understanding, not oversimplified narratives. The choice between the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the Kuomintang (KMT) is not just a binary dichotomy between pro-separation and pro-detente; it encapsulates a profound decision between mounting instability or the pursuit of peaceful prosperity. This affects not just Taiwan’s future and neighbours like us in the Philippines, but all of Asia and the world.

In a piece headlined “Why a Taiwan election upset could be a US blessing”, even Washington Post columnist Jason Willick opines that a KMT win would be a reprieve for the United States, instead of a win by the pro-US DPP.

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The potential impact of Taiwan-mainland China conflict on the global economy is staggering, with Bloomberg estimating a shock of US$10 trillion, or about 10 per cent of global gross domestic product – worse than even the Covid-19 pandemic, the global financial crisis, or the Ukraine-Russia war.

Echoing concerns from many Asians, highly respected former Singaporean foreign minister George Yeo last year proposed a pragmatic “Chinese commonwealth” between Beijing and Taipei, rooted in a shared civilisation and culture transcending political differences. I believe this would boost investor confidence in Asia and be a good mechanism for non-stop dialogue.
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In contrast, outgoing leader Tsai Ing-wen’s antagonistic stance in the past eight years has hindered the development of Taiwan’s once robust economy and caused regional uncertainties.

The looming threat of the Taiwan issue escalating into a broader conflict involving mainland China and the United States is ominous. The historical involvement of the US since the Chinese civil war complicates an issue perceived by the Chinese people as internal. Retired Australian diplomat John Lander warns of Taiwan becoming a host of a US proxy war against mainland China.

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