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Macroscope
Opinion
Anthony Rowley

Macroscope | Japan and South Korea enter the fray of a growing war on not just trade, but also global supply chains

  • Under attack, the previously underrated and ignored supply chain, essentially the nervous system of international trade, is starting to deliver painful shocks throughout the global economy

Reading Time:3 minutes
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A notice in a South Korean shop campaigns for a boycott of Japanese-made products on July 12. South Korea is unhappy that Japan is restricting its exports to the country after reports that some sensitive material that could be used to produce weapons were ending up in North Korea, despite international sanctions. Photo: AP
Trade wars have opened up a new front in Asia, with Japan’s decision to restrict exports to South Korea of certain chemicals used in hi-tech and strategic applications – just when the US is locked in a trade war with China. But what is most alarming is what is happening behind the front lines.

Few people seem to take the threat to supply or value chains as seriously as they should, which is due largely to the hidden nature of these myriad and vital links among countries and companies across Asia and beyond. They are the nervous or vascular system of the global economy, unseen and unheeded until they malfunction.

Mercifully (even if maybe rather late in the day), some senior economists are beginning to sound the alarm, although at a time such as this, when ignorance is regarded as bliss among populist political leaders, rational voices are rather easily drowned out.

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International Monetary Fund chief economist Gita Gopinath said last week, that disputes over trade and technology, such as the United States’ decision to put Chinese tech company Huawei on its entity list, have a damaging impact on global trade and could fracture global supply chains.

The damage to supply chains goes far beyond the impact on Huawei. Supply chains comprise myriad companies, from giants like Huawei and legions of other multinationals, to tens (or maybe hundreds) of thousands of smaller firms, all of which have invested years, even decades in building the international trading system as we know it.

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