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India
Opinion
David Dodwell

Outside In | What Brexit supporters can learn from India pulling out of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership

  • While RCEP has been rightly critiqued as a ‘stapler’ deal, it is an important assurance that countries remain committed to multi-country liberalisation
  • India’s withdrawal from the pact leaves the other 15 members in a quandary over whether to proceed or wait, and highlights the difficulty of concluding trade deals

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New Zealand’s Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang and Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha hold hands at the third Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership summit in Bangkok, Thailand, on November 4. India later decided not to sign the pact. Photo: Reuters
As Britain’s Brexit-obsessed conservatives rally the country’s voters around the vision of new and open trade pastures, with the United Kingdom breaking loose of European Union fetters and building its own dynamic and liberal trade deals with the world, let them think about just one thing: the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).

The proposed 16-economy pact is the brainchild of Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders keen to liberalise trade between themselves and with their key regional trading partners – Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea, China and India. It was conceived in 2012 and could amount to the world’s largest trade block, embracing almost half the world’s population and a third of global gross domestic product.

But seven years later, we still await its birth. In Thailand last week, the deal tripped for the umpteenth time just short of the finish line, as India walked away, deciding the pact threatened its manufacturers and farmers.
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I am among those who remain convinced that trade and investment liberalisation brings significant benefits to us all, playing a large part in overall poverty reduction, but I should be clear from the outset: RCEP offered very little to get excited about. Economically transformative it was not.

It has been talked of as a “stapler” with good reason, because it does nothing more than clip together existing Asean trade agreements. For once, I would agree with US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross (note that the United States is not part of the pact) in downplaying RCEP as a “very low grade treaty”.

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A cargo ship is docked at the Yangshan container port in Shanghai in April 2018. The RCEP aims to liberalise trade between Asean countries and their key regional trading partners. Photo: AP
A cargo ship is docked at the Yangshan container port in Shanghai in April 2018. The RCEP aims to liberalise trade between Asean countries and their key regional trading partners. Photo: AP
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