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Inside Out & Outside In
Opinion
David Dodwell

Outside In | Singles’ Day sales are no cause for optimism – when Chinese consumerism wakes, it may trash the world

  • The good news is that China’s Singles’ Day numbers show it is boosting domestic demand, becoming less reliant on exports
  • The bad news? If China, and India, replicate the West’s consumption and waste habits, we’ll have an environmental crisis

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Workers sort out packages at a delivery company warehouse to be delivered to customers on November 12, the day after Singles’ Day. Photo: AFP
For those of us weighed down by gloom on all sides – with lunatic violence in Hong Kong, Chile and Spain, with British election campaigns pointing relentlessly towards Brexit, with impeachment revelations in the US, and forest fires ablaze across New South Wales – there was rare comfort in last Monday’s extravagant Singles' Day shopping bonanza.
Here was clear evidence of ebullient optimism among ordinary folk across the length of China, and of China successfully shifting away from its reliance on exports and instead building household consumption as a key driver of economic growth. With so much talk of imminent recession, here was hope.

As Taylor Swift led a long list of international stars in a glittering show to celebrate Alibaba’s spending party, it was mesmerising to watch the “spendometer” whirr giddily at the bottom of the screen as they marked US$1 billion in sales in just 68 seconds, US$10 billion in half an hour, eventually topping 268 billion yuan, or US$38.4 billion, over the full 24 hours. That was 26 per cent up on 2018.

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Here were half a billion people buying more than a billion items across the e-commerce network of Alibaba (also the parent company of the South China Morning Post), ranging from perfume and make-up to cars and farm equipment.

Add to this the US$29 billion or so spent across JD.com’s copycat extravaganza, and significant billions spent across the e-commerce platform of upstart Pinduoduo, and you have nothing less than a consumer orgy.

Compare this with the five-day Black Friday spend-fest in the US, which last year clocked just under US$25 billion in sales, and Cyber Monday that clocked less than US$8 billion, and you glimpse the awesome consumer power that can be driven by an emergent China that today still has per capita income not much more than a quarter of US per capita income.

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