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Macroscope
Opinion
Neal Kimberley

The trade war is just the start: distrust of China is bipartisan in Washington and EU environmental tariffs loom

  • After years of assuming a closer relationship with China would make it more liberal, the West’s view is changing. Scepticism about Beijing is the one thing US political parties agree on, while an EU carbon tariff could hit China hard

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French President Emmanuel Macron shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping following a signing ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on November 6. Photo: AFP
The US-China trade war is only the tip of an iceberg. It might suit China to have it resolved sooner rather than later because there will undoubtedly be new challenges to confront. Policymakers in the liberal democracies of the West are re-evaluating their attitudes towards China’s resurgence. 

Let’s be honest: policymakers in the West, perhaps overconfidently or perhaps naively, felt that encouraging China’s economic expansion would not only produce a wealthier nation but also one which moved closer to embracing Western democratic values.

China is certainly wealthier, but the Communist Party doesn’t seem likely to embrace Western democratic values any time soon. Consequently, Western policymakers, particularly in the United States, are having a rethink.

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Western policymakers also made the political calculation that the benefits to Western consumers of access to cheaper Chinese goods outweighed any electoral downside that might occur as manufacturing jobs shifted to China. That calculation is also being rethought, and nowhere more so than in Europe.

In the US, President Donald Trump has pushed back against what he perceives to be an inequitable trade relationship with China but there’s broad cross-party backing for his position.

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