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Hong Kong housing
Opinion
Nicholas Spiro

The View | Asia’s real estate investors find escape from coronavirus in sheds and beds

  • Rise in online shopping and people working from home has driven spike in demand for last-mile logistics and warehousing space
  • Multifamily housing also seeing increased interest as pandemic increases appeal of properties that benefit from income stability and high occupancy

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A woman pushes a stroller past residential buildings near the West Kowloon MTR station on May 6. Multifamily housing has been a resilient sector during the pandemic by virtue of its income stability. Photo: Bloomberg
Asia’s real estate markets are struggling to cope with the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic. In the first quarter of this year, average Grade A office rents across the region fell 0.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter. They were dragged down by the collapse in leasing activity in Hong Kong and Shanghai, the two weakest markets in the region, according to a report published by CBRE last month.

The deterioration in fundamentals was much sharper in the retail sector, where average rents in the region fell 2.4 per cent quarter-on-quarter. It was the sharpest quarterly decline since the 2008 financial crisis, CBRE noted, exacerbated by the accumulation of shocks faced by Hong Kong’s economy.

In the commercial property investment market, the top 10 cities in the Asia-Pacific region all suffered double-digit year-on-year declines in transaction volumes, according to property consultant Real Capital Analytics. It notes that the slowdown “had already been apparent for some time”.

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Judging by the appetite for deals displayed by the property arm of German insurance giant Allianz, though, there are evidently some bright spots in Asian real estate. In the last several weeks alone, Allianz Real Estate has acquired a logistics portfolio of four Aldi distribution centres in Australia, in a joint venture with a local investor, and a collection of prime multifamily residential assets in Tokyo.

Since the pandemic began, two clear themes have emerged in Asia’s property markets and in global real estate more broadly.

02:55

Then and now: Asia-Pacific landmarks emptied by the coronavirus pandemic

Then and now: Asia-Pacific landmarks emptied by the coronavirus pandemic

The first is differentiation. While all asset classes have suffered, the performance and resilience of each sector have varied markedly. As McKinsey noted in a report published in April, “the market seems to have pivoted mostly on the inherent degree of physical proximity among an asset class’ users,” which explains why the hospitality and retail sectors have fared the worst.

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