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Inside Out & Outside In
Opinion
David Dodwell

How closing pubs in Europe and grounding airlines started a nut crisis in West Africa

  • From Africa to the US, a global nut crisis is spreading as demand for snacks from bars, airlines, weddings and other social events plummets in the wake of Covid-19
  • Long term, the trend towards healthier diets and rising affluence should ensure demand remains robust

Reading Time:4 minutes
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Women work at a cashew warehouse in Abidjan, Ivory Coast. The nut crisis has been compounded by bumper crops worldwide, and a wide range of idiosyncratic local challenges. Photo: Reuters

With a few digitally driven exceptions, the Covid-19 pandemic is clearly an ill wind that blows no one any good. Whatever country you turn to, whatever community you visit, the harm seems pervasive and often cruelly interlinked.

Look at Guinea-Bissau in West Africa, one of the world’s poorest countries with a population of just 1.9 million. Around 86 per cent of its families rely on a single export crop – cashew nuts. Guinea-Bissau and a tiny handful of impoverished West African neighbours account for about 43 per cent of global exports.
And as pubs and clubs across Europe have been shut by pandemic lockdowns, demand for snacks has crashed – and, with it, the earnings of a large part of Guinea-Bissau’s population, as cashew prices fell 10 per cent.
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It feels a bit like Edward Lorenz’s “butterfly effect” but, in this instance, the absence of a beer-drinker’s bar snack in Peckham, South London, has wrought an economic typhoon through West Africa.

The same crisis is being played out across the nut-producing world, whether it is almond growers in California, walnut farmers in China or pistachio producers in Iran. Take the family-run nut company GNS from Arlington in Texas, which has been left with thousands of tonnes of nuts on its hands after its two main customers – two leading US airlines – cancelled orders.

04:15

Chinese farmers see livelihoods threatened by coronavirus pandemic and related economic slump

Chinese farmers see livelihoods threatened by coronavirus pandemic and related economic slump

Nut prices have fallen worldwide as the Covid-19 pandemic shut down our social lives. According to commodity data company Mintec, US almond prices have fallen by 40 per cent this year, with walnuts down 18 per cent.

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