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Macroscope
Opinion
Anthony Rowley

Macroscope | Amid US-China tensions, Asia must come together to take back its destiny

  • Asia’s internal differences leave it susceptible to outside intervention or even manipulation, and that stops it from realising its full potential
  • That the divides remain so pronounced shows political development lags behind economic development. The region must grow up and learn to stand on its own feet

Reading Time:3 minutes
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Chinese Premier Li Keqiang speaks at the Asean Plus Three virtual summit on April 14, 2020. Photo: VTV via AP

Through its actions, as well as those of outside forces, Asia risks ensuring that this will not be the oft-heralded Asian century. Instead, Asia’s destiny will continue to be decided from outside the region.

That, in turn, means Asia’s full economic and technological potential as the world’s most human- and physical-resource-rich region will not be fully realised.

This may seem a rather dismal assessment but it is hard to avoid the conclusion that the Biden administration in the US is opting for a policy of covert containment, if not overt “divide and rule”, in Asia.
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And, as Hung Tran at the Atlantic Council in Washington, said, “The contention will […] be protracted, with potential for escalation, overshadowing economic competition and possible cooperation in areas of common interest.”

The political and strategic dimensions of the “US plus allies” vs “China and friends” strategy, which is being pursued (under pressure and at speed) by President Joe Biden, are enormous. But so too are the economic implications.

Some of these were summed up rather well by Jonathan Ostry, deputy director of the International Monetary Fund’s Asia and Pacific department, in response to my questions at the recent IMF-World Bank meetings in Washington.

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