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South China Sea: Analysis
Opinion
Mark J. Valencia

Opinion | South China Sea tensions need to be cooled down, not hyped up

  • The situation calls for calm heads to prevail among all countries, and especially from decision-makers and supposedly objective analysts
  • Hyperbole, such as seen in reaction to the massing of Chinese boats at Whitsun Reef, only plays into the hands of those who want conflict

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
13
Illustration: Craig Stephens
The South China Sea situation is tense and dangerous. Increasing militarisation by the United States and China – and others within the region and outside it – is enhancing the possibility of a clash.

Indeed, the US and China seem locked in a duel driven by mutual distrust; each claiming to be responding to the other and neither wanting to de-escalate first. This situation calls for calm and cool heads from all countries, and especially from supposedly objective analysts.

But, instead, what we read is hyperbole and hype. This egging on plays into the hands of some militarists who seem to want confrontation and conflict.

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This is no longer about who is at fault, or more at fault. There are no angels in the South China Sea. All claimants have taken actions that go against the self-restraint agreed in the 2002 Asean-China non-binding Declaration on the Conduct of the Parties in the South China Sea.

China may be seen as the worst offender but the widespread lack of trust is a result of violations of principle and not the degree thereof.

01:50

China’s most advanced amphibious assault ship likely to be deployed in disputed South China Sea

China’s most advanced amphibious assault ship likely to be deployed in disputed South China Sea
Moreover, they all have South China Sea claims that are not consonant with the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (Unclos). And all have claims over Spratly features with serious legal weaknesses.
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