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Macroscope
Opinion
Anthony Rowley

Macroscope | The economics underpinning the growing Russian-Chinese influence

  • As Russia pivots to Asia economically and strategically, its cooperation with China could counter US alliances from West to East
  • Under Western sanctions, Russia has tightened fiscal policies, boosted trade with China and become stronger. The US might end up with two formidable foes

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Chinese President Xi Jinping meets Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on June 5, 2019. Photo: Kremlin/dpa
We have grown so accustomed to hearing about China’s “assertiveness” in East Asia that it comes almost as a perverse relief to have the focus shift to Russia’s purported plan to invade Ukraine. These linkages between these disparate developments may become more significant, however, as the Russo-Chinese relationship expands.

In economic as well as geostrategic terms, Russia’s relations with China have been growing stronger in recent times, to the point where solidarity between Moscow and Beijing could counter US alliances with Europe, Japan, Australia and India.

In everything from Russo-Chinese cooperation in international payments and financial systems to energy and armaments, bilateral relations appear to be getting stronger, enabling them to react more effectively against possible Western interventions and economic sanctions.
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As Hung Tran, non-resident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council in Washington, observes, “If Russia and China increase policy coordination and support each other economically, they will strengthen their strategic positions, presenting a formidable challenge to the West.”

China, Tran suggests, is logically the most important country with which Russia can deepen its strategic alliance for mutual support and assistance: “Both are opponents of the US in the escalating geopolitical struggle and both have been put under US sanctions for various reasons.”

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Recently, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping have voiced support for each other’s “core interests”. As Tran notes in a paper, Russia could influence events in Taiwan and Ukraine.
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