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Defence
Opinion
Sumit Ganguly

Opinion | Two steps India and Pakistan can take after accidental missile launch

  • While the restraint of the Pakistani military following the incident is admirable, the two nuclear-armed neighbours can do more to strengthen confidence-building measures

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Indian Border Security Force personnel and Pakistani Rangers take part in the Beating Retreat ceremony during the Republic Day celebrations at the India-Pakistan Wagah border post on January 26, 2019. Photo: AFP
On March 9, an Indian supersonic, surface-to-surface missile was accidentally launched from a firing range at Sirsa near the Pakistani border and landed in Pakistan near the city of Mian Channu. Fortunately, there was no loss of life even though some civilian property was damaged.

Two days later, Indian authorities expressed regret over the incident and attributed the inadvertent launch to a technical error. The Pakistani military said it was aware of the trajectory of the missile once it entered Pakistani territory. Not surprisingly, they also expressed considerable concern about this intrusion.

It is certainly reassuring that the launch of this missile into Pakistani territory did not lead to a response from its military. The fulminations of Pakistani National Security Adviser Moeed Yusuf notwithstanding, the restraint of the Pakistani military was admirable. Had Pakistan either moved its forces closer to the border or resorted to other military manoeuvres, it could have easily escalated the situation.

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In the Indo-Pakistani context, such fears are hardly chimerical. The two countries have fought four wars (in 1947-48, 1965, 1971 and 1999). In 1987, a major Indian military exercise, “Brasstacks”, almost culminated in a war between the two states.

The inadvertent missile launch into Pakistani territory also raises other questions. Specifically, it brings to the fore the robustness of India’s command and control apparatus over its missile, and possibly nuclear, forces. There is little information in the public domain about the structure of India’s nuclear command authority because of an acute penchant for secrecy about security matters.

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