Advertisement
Belt and Road Initiative
Opinion
David Dodwell

Outside In | Developing Asian countries shouldn’t have to choose between Western and Chinese investment – not when every dollar helps

  • With an urgent need for infrastructure across the region and huge gaps in financing, the West should be praising China’s belt and road even as it launches its own investment plan
  • Instead, the newly rebranded PGII looks suspiciously like another attempt to advance US security policy and counter China’s influence

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
13
US President Joe Biden speaks to the press, as German Chancellor Olaf Scholz looks on, during the G7 Summit in Germany on June 26. Photo: DPA

For over 15 years inside the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, financial officials, bankers, investors and officials from institutions like the Asian Development Bank have wrestled with a single unrelenting challenge: how to bridge the gigantic infrastructure financing gap.

Amid a consensus about an urgent and region-wide need to build roads, railways, power stations, ports and clean water systems, as a precondition for lifting communities out of poverty, the Asian Development Bank estimated that Asia alone needed US$26 trillion up to 2030. McKinsey, not to be outdone, calculated that we needed US$2.5 trillion a year from 2016 to 2030.

Fully aware that such sums were far beyond the means of government taxpayer funding, government officials brought bankers and business leaders into the room to see how they could help.

Advertisement

This raised two immediate challenges: solutions involving the private sector would need projects that could quickly earn private-sector profits; while huge, long-gestation projects that needed billions of dollars in upfront investment presented massive risks. Even the largest multinational construction firms were nervous that a future government might renege on fee agreements.

People shop at a makeshift market in the San Roque neighbourhood outside Metro Manila in the Philippines, in June 2020. Photo: Bloomberg
People shop at a makeshift market in the San Roque neighbourhood outside Metro Manila in the Philippines, in June 2020. Photo: Bloomberg

These daunting challenges mean that, even today, the funding gap for “big infrastructure” remains unbridged, and communities across the developing world lack electricity and clean water, or railways and ports linking them to the global economy.

Advertisement
Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x