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Opinion | Davos elite are fooling only themselves with their ‘everything is fine’ messaging

  • The cheerful mood at the World Economic Forum is at odds with a world mired in war, inflation, US-China tensions and recession fears
  • Business leaders should have been demanding an end to the conflicts and competition ailing the global economy; instead they sought to downplay them

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A logo on a window at the Congress Centre during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on January 19. Photo: Bloomberg
The state of the world was looking grim, stocks had collapsed, recession loomed and sentiment had slumped. Yet business moguls, financiers and officials met to declare optimism about the future. It was 1929 in New York – but there are odd parallels with the 2023 World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos.

After Wall Street crashed and the Great Depression got under way, then-president Herbert Hoover convened what were known as “no-business meetings” where barons of industry met behind closed doors and did nothing beyond issuing absurd statements claiming that everything was under control.

These exercises in confidence-boosting achieved nothing beyond intensifying the decade-long misery that was to follow until Western rearmament at the outbreak of World War II boosted production. Yet world leaders seem intent on trying this same trick again.

The Davos meeting was expected to be a sober affair, given the current state of a world mired in inflation, recession fears, war (in Ukraine), US-China tensions and other post-pandemic blues.

Instead, to the surprise of many, something akin to The Sound of Music was heard emanating from the Alpine resort where the WEF is held. As the Financial Times rather airily phrased it in a summarising headline, there were “reasons to be cheerful”.

Predictions about the global economy in 2023 had been uniformly bleak, the FT noted; “but the [Davos] consensus was that things are not as bad as they seemed”. International Monetary Fund (IMF) managing director Kristalina Georgieva also said the situation “is less bad than we feared a couple of months ago”.
Anthony Rowley is a veteran journalist specialising in Asian economic and financial affairs. He was formerly Business Editor and International Finance Editor of the Hong Kong-based Far Eastern Economic Review and worked earlier on The Times newspaper in London
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