Advertisement
China-Australia relations
EconomyChina Economy

China-Australia relations: is this the start of ‘mining boom 2.0’ as Canberra rakes in cash from iron ore rally?

  • Analyst calls this ‘one of the most incredible transfers of wealth between the pockets of the Chinese and Australian governments’, despite political conflict
  • Australia is the biggest iron ore exporter to China, which gets about 60 per cent of its supply from down under

Reading Time:4 minutes
Why you can trust SCMP
99+
Despite political tensions that have seen China block a range of Australian exports over the past year, the massive iron ore trade has remained unscathed. Photo: Reuters
Su-Lin Tan

China is making Australia rich as record-breaking iron ore prices lift revenues for both miners and the Australian government, despite a long-standing bilateral political conflict, but Australia is unlikely to enjoy another decade-long mining “boom”, according to analysts and economists.

Canberra, which recently began discussing the possibility of “war” with China, likely gained an additional A$37 billion (US$28.75 billion) in revenue in the past year due to the skyrocketing price of iron ore, which surpassed US$230 a tonne last week, topping the previous record of US$200 set about a decade ago.
Iron ore was selling for about US$80 a tonne before the Chinese government introduced its US$500 billion pandemic stimulus last May, propelling both the demand and price of iron ore.
Advertisement

For every US$10 rise in the price of iron ore, the Australian government’s revenues – in the form of company taxes and royalties – rise by about A$2.5 billion, while Australia’s annual export earnings rise by A$11 billion, experts say.

“Political posturing and tensions aside, this is therefore one of the most incredible transfers of wealth between the pockets of the Chinese and Australian governments,” said Navigate Commodities’ iron ore analyst, Atilla Widnell. “The Australian Treasury could benefit from an extra US$34 billion to US$37 billion added to its coffers if iron ore prices are sustained above US$200 a tonne.”

Advertisement
Advertisement
Select Voice
Choose your listening speed
Get through articles 2x faster
1.25x
250 WPM
Slow
Average
Fast
1.25x