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Artificial intelligence
OpinionAsia Opinion
Anthony Rowley

Macroscope | Can AI deliver the economic goods and high returns? Don’t count on it

The dash towards AI might become a rout as the public rebels against the environmental costs while investors worry about the returns

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A construction worker stands outside a data centre being built in Sedenak Tech Park in Johor, Malaysia, on September 27, 2024. Emerging AI data centres are giving the region’s main data centre hubs, Japan and Singapore, a run for their money. Photo: AP
Only one thing matches the excitement, bordering on hysteria, about artificial intelligence having the potential to transform just about every aspect of our lives – and that is the exuberance AI has generated in stock markets. Yet both phenomena are coming under increasing scrutiny as we enter the new year.
Some question the extent to which AI can in fact substitute for human intelligence across business and society while others challenge the technology on environmental and ethical grounds. Yet others fear the massive capital demands for investments in AI could precipitate a crisis in a banking and financial system already burdened by debt and asset bubbles.
These issues will need to be faced squarely in 2026 so that the headlong dash towards the brave new world of AI does not become a rout as the public rebels against its environmental costs and its impact on employment and social equity, while investors conclude that the returns do not match the colossal investments needed for the data centres that are integral to the AI revolution.
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Adoption of AI in the Asia-Pacific is widespread and the advent of the technology could boost the regional economy, Asian Development Bank Institute (ADBI) dean Bambang Brodjonegoro noted during a recent conference in Tokyo. However, he also warned that major headwinds ranging from job losses and increased income inequality to the digital divide would need to be addressed.

The Tokyo forum, organised by the ADBI and the World Bank Group, also provided some revealing perspectives from World Bank chief economist Indermit Gill, Asian Development Bank chief economist Albert Park and Tshilidzi Marwala, rector of the United Nations University Institute for the Advanced Study of Sustainability.

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On paper at least, the Asia-Pacific is well placed to take advantage of AI-enabled transformation and tech-driven industrial development. The region has a broad skills base and produces three-quarters of the world’s STEM graduates. On the other hand, a quarter of the region remains unconnected to the internet.

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