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China's population
OpinionLetters

Letters | Fewer newborns in China may point to a more humane future

Readers discuss why a shrinking population is not a policy failure, and the bottled water procurement scandal

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Children and adults take rides in a park in Fuyang, Anhui province in 2025. Photo: AFP
Letters
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Recently released data shows that fewer than 8 million babies were born in China in 2025. While this figure has alarmed many observers, I am convinced that a shrinking population – especially fewer newborns – is not necessarily a negative outcome for China’s long-term social and economic development.

First, one of the core reasons young Chinese people hesitate to have children is not simply money but time.

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China’s modernisation has been remarkably successful: transport is fast, communication is instant and daily life is highly efficient. Yet this very efficiency has also produced overloaded work schedules and compressed personal lives. When people have little time for stable relationships, they naturally become reluctant to form families, let alone raise children. In this sense, fewer newborns are not a policy failure, but an almost inevitable by-product of advanced modernisation.

Second, policies designed to stimulate childbirth are likely to have limited effects. Low fertility reflects a deeper issue: the uncertainty and insecurity felt by an emerging urban middle class about its future. When housing, education, healthcare and retirement remain long-term concerns, one-off subsidies or symbolic incentives rarely change family decisions. What may matter more is the creation of stable, long-term investment opportunities and predictable returns that help households regain confidence in the future. Fertility, after all, is closely tied to people’s expectations.

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Third – and perhaps most controversially – fewer babies may not be a bad thing at all.

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