Don't believe the hype

According to the pan-democrats, or at least according to some of their most influential leaders, the by-election in December is a lot more than a contest for a Legislative Council seat. It's a 'showdown between democracy and anti-democracy', they declare. It will be a triumphant victory for democracy if their candidate wins.

This declaration has both tactical and strategic significance. Tactically, the pan-democrats believe their best chance of winning the by-election lies in making democracy the central, if not the only, election issue. They believe the majority of Hongkongers want universal suffrage at the earliest possible date. This is exactly what the pan-democratic candidate will campaign for, while the candidate from the pro-Beijing, or pro-establishment, camp will not. If voters' top priority is universal suffrage, they will probably support the pan-democrat.

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