bodyType

customContents

entityId

printArticlePageQuery

filter

article

body

urlAlias

articleSectionsContent

articleSeoArticle

articleSourceHeaderArticle

contentSchemaRenderContent

contentSubHeadlineContent

contentHeadlineContent

mainImagePrintArticleArticle

authorBlockPrintArticleArticle

contentSponsorTagContent

articlePianoPaywallContent

scmpYoutubeContent

hooksTrackPageViewArticle

query printArticlePageQuery(
  $entityId: String!
  $customContents: [CustomContentInput]
  $bodyType: BodyFormatTypeEnum
) {
  article(filter: {entityId: $entityId}) {
    entityId
    body(customContents: $customContents, type: $bodyType) {
      json
    }
    urlAlias
    ...articleSectionsContent
    ...articleSeoArticle_3o8td4
    ...articleSourceHeaderArticle
    ...contentSchemaRenderContent
    ...contentSubHeadlineContent
    ...contentHeadlineContent
    ...mainImagePrintArticleArticle
    ...authorBlockPrintArticleArticle
    ...contentSponsorTagContent
    ...articlePianoPaywallContent
    ...scmpYoutubeContent
    ...hooksTrackPageViewArticle
    id
  }
}

fragment articlePianoPaywallContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...hooksPaywallPromiseContent
}

fragment articleSectionsContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        name
        published
      }
      ... on VideoSection {
        name
        published
      }
      ...helpersCheckIfNewsSectionInFirstIndexSection
      ...entityLink
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment articleSeoArticle_3o8td4 on Article {
  ...hooksArticleSeoArticle
  ...helpersGetArticleTypeArticle
  entityId
  publishedDate
  updatedDate
  summary {
    text
  }
  subHeadline {
    text
  }
  body(customContents: $customContents, type: $bodyType) {
    text
  }
  keywords
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        name
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  topics {
    name
    entityId
    id
  }
  urlAlias
  authors {
    name
    id
  }
  images {
    style(filter: {style: "768x768"}) {
      url
    }
  }
  readingTime
}

fragment articleSourceHeaderArticle on Article {
  urlAlias
  ...entityLink
}

fragment authorBlockPrintArticleArticle on Article {
  ...defaultArticleDateContent
  ...authorNamesArticle
}

fragment authorNameAuthor on Author {
  ...entityLink
  name
  entityUuid
}

fragment authorNamesArticle on Article {
  authorLocations
  authors {
    entityId
    location
    ...authorNameAuthor
    id
  }
}

fragment blockquoteQuoteContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...contentShareWidgetContent
}

fragment checkersCheckContentContainsStarlingImageContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  topics {
    entityId
    id
  }
}

fragment contentHeadlineContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  headline
  socialHeadline
  ...contentHeadlineTagContent
  ...helpersUseContentSponsorContent
}

fragment contentHeadlineTagContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...hooksContentHeadlineTagContent
}

fragment contentNewsletterWidgetContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  topics {
    relatedNewsletters {
      ...helpersMassageToNewsletterItemNewsletter
      id
    }
    id
  }
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        relatedNewsletters {
          ...helpersMassageToNewsletterItemNewsletter
          id
        }
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  ... on Article {
    relatedNewsletters {
      ...helpersMassageToNewsletterItemNewsletter
      id
    }
  }
}

fragment contentSchemaRenderContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...blockquoteQuoteContent
  ...hooksInlinePlusWidgetContent
  ...imageContent
  ...inlineWidgetContent
  ...photoGalleryWidgetContent
  ...scmpYoutubeContent
}

fragment contentShareWidgetContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  __typename
  entityId
  urlAlias
  shortUrl
  socialHeadline
  headline
  ... on Video {
    youtubeId
  }
}

fragment contentSponsorTagContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...helpersUseContentSponsorContent
}

fragment contentSubHeadlineContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  subHeadline {
    json
  }
  summary {
    json
  }
  ...contentSchemaRenderContent
}

fragment defaultArticleDateContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...hooksArticleDateUtilsContent
}

fragment entityLink on BaseWithApplicationAndUrlAlias {
  __isBaseWithApplicationAndUrlAlias: __typename
  __typename
  entityId
  entityUuid
  urlAlias
  urlRedirect {
    toUrl
    id
  }
  application {
    entityId
    id
  }
  ... on Section {
    fullSectionPath {
      entityId
      id
    }
    parentSection
  }
  ...helpersAppBarVariantBase
  ...helpersApplicationBase
  ...helpersCheckIsPlusArticle
  ...helpersStyleSectionContent
}

fragment helpersAppBarVariantBase on BaseWithApplicationAndUrlAlias {
  __isBaseWithApplicationAndUrlAlias: __typename
  ...helpersCheckIsLiveArticle
  ...helpersCheckIsPlusPage
  ...helpersCheckIsPostMagazineArticle
  ...helpersCheckIsStyleArticle
  ...helpersSectionContent
  ...helpersStyleSectionContent
}

fragment helpersApplicationBase on BaseWithApplicationAndUrlAlias {
  __isBaseWithApplicationAndUrlAlias: __typename
  ...helpersCheckIsPlusPage
}

fragment helpersCheckIfNewsSectionInFirstIndexSection on SectionUnion {
  __isSectionUnion: __typename
  ... on Section {
    name
  }
  ... on VideoSection {
    name
  }
}

fragment helpersCheckIsAmpEnabledArticle on Article {
  entityId
  types {
    value {
      entityId
      id
    }
  }
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        entityId
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  disableOffPlatformContent
  sponsorType
  published
  ...helpersCheckIsPlusArticle
}

fragment helpersCheckIsLiveArticle on Article {
  flattenTypeIds
  liveArticle {
    status
    id
  }
}

fragment helpersCheckIsMainTopicContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  topics {
    entityId
    id
  }
}

fragment helpersCheckIsPlusArticle on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ... on Article {
    paywallTypes {
      entityUuid
      id
    }
  }
}

fragment helpersCheckIsPlusPage on Page {
  urlAlias
}

fragment helpersCheckIsPostMagazineArticle on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        entityId
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment helpersCheckIsStyleArticle on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        entityId
      }
      ... on VideoSection {
        entityId
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment helpersGetArticleTypeArticle on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ... on Article {
    types {
      value {
        entityId
        id
      }
    }
  }
}

fragment helpersMassageToNewsletterItemNewsletter on Newsletter {
  entityId
  name
  alternativeName
  description {
    text
  }
  summary {
    text
  }
  homepageDescription {
    text
  }
}

fragment helpersSanitizeArticleTypeEntityIdsArticle on Article {
  types {
    value {
      entityId
      id
    }
  }
}

fragment helpersSanitizeAuthorTypesArticle on Article {
  authors {
    types
    id
  }
}

fragment helpersSanitizedAuthorEntityIdsArticle on Article {
  authors {
    entityId
    id
  }
}

fragment helpersSectionContent on Section {
  fullSectionPath {
    entityId
    id
  }
}

fragment helpersStyleSectionContent on Section {
  fullSectionPath {
    entityId
    id
  }
}

fragment helpersUseContentSponsorContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  topics {
    entityId
    sponsor {
      ...sponsorTagSponsor
      name
      type
      id
    }
    id
  }
  ... on Article {
    sponsorType
  }
  ...helpersCheckIsMainTopicContent
}

fragment hooksArticleDateUtilsContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  createdDate
  publishedDate
  updatedDate
}

fragment hooksArticleSeoArticle on Article {
  ...helpersCheckIsPostMagazineArticle
  ...helpersCheckIsStyleArticle
  ...hooksContentHeadlineTagContent
  ...helpersCheckIsAmpEnabledArticle
  entityId
  headline
  socialHeadline
  types {
    value {
      entityId
      id
    }
  }
  authors {
    entityId
    id
  }
  images {
    generic_og: style(filter: {style: "og_image_scmp_generic"}) {
      url
    }
    styles(filter: {styles: ["og_postmag", "og_image_style", "og_image_scmp_analysis", "og_image_scmp_explainer", "og_image_scmp_editorial", "og_image_scmp_fact_check", "og_image_scmp_debate", "og_image_scmp_live", "og_image_scmp_obituary", "og_image_scmp_opinion", "og_image_scmp_review", "og_image_scmp_series", "og_image_scmp_generic"]}) {
      url
      style
    }
    type
  }
  urlAlias
}

fragment hooksContentHeadlineTagContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  __typename
  ... on Article {
    types {
      value {
        name
        entityId
        description {
          text
        }
        id
      }
    }
    ...helpersCheckIsStyleArticle
  }
  flag
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        name
      }
      ... on VideoSection {
        name
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  ...hooksContentHelperContent
}

fragment hooksContentHelperContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...helpersSanitizeArticleTypeEntityIdsArticle
  ...helpersSanitizeAuthorTypesArticle
  ...helpersSanitizedAuthorEntityIdsArticle
  flag
}

fragment hooksInlinePlusWidgetContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  topics {
    entityId
    id
  }
}

fragment hooksPaywallPromiseContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  entityId
}

fragment hooksTrackPageViewArticle on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  entityId
  publishedDate
  headline
  sectionsV2 {
    value {
      __typename
      ... on Section {
        name
      }
      ... on Node {
        __isNode: __typename
        id
      }
    }
  }
  urlAlias
  authors {
    name
    id
  }
  entityUuid
}

fragment imageContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  headline
  ...checkersCheckContentContainsStarlingImageContent
}

fragment inlineWidgetContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...contentNewsletterWidgetContent
}

fragment mainImagePrintArticleArticle on Article {
  images {
    title
    url
    isSlideshow
    size_652x446: style(filter: {style: "652x446"}) {
      url
    }
  }
}

fragment photoGalleryDialogContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  __typename
  ...contentShareWidgetContent
}

fragment photoGalleryWidgetContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  ...photoGalleryDialogContent
}

fragment scmpYoutubeContent on Content {
  __isContent: __typename
  entityId
  urlAlias
  publishedDate
}

fragment sponsorTagSponsor on Sponsor {
  name
  type
  images {
    url
  }
}


types

sectionsV2

disableOffPlatformContent

sponsorType

published

headline

socialHeadline

authors

images

publishedDate

updatedDate

summary

subHeadline

keywords

topics

readingTime

authorLocations

Genevieve Donnellon-May

Central Asia’s water insecurity may seem a distant concern. But its rivers underpin Eurasian trade corridors, sustain global food markets and power regional energy systems. As water stress worsens, this is no longer just an environmental issue but a strategic threat across Eurasia – demanding urgent attention in Beijing, Brussels and beyond.
Central Asia is warming twice as fast as the global average, accelerating glacier retreat in mountain ranges that act as natural reservoirs. As a result, flows in the major transnational rivers are becoming more volatile while droughts grow more frequent. These shifts strain agriculture and hydropower, undermine rural livelihoods and deepen socio-economic vulnerabilities across the region.
For Beijing, these risks are immediate. Western China and Central Asia share key river basins, making water security a cross-border concern. Unpredictable flows strain agriculture and industry in Xinjiang, while water scarcity compounds socio-economic pressures in sensitive border regions – an issue Beijing monitors closely.
Climate stress in Central Asia also affects the Belt and Road Initiative. Transport corridors, industrial zones and logistics hubs depend on predictable water and energy supplies. Meanwhile, disruptions to food imports from Kazakhstan and instability in regional energy exchanges affect China’s western development strategy and the long-term viability of its Eurasian corridors.
Europe faces parallel exposure. The European Union is investing heavily in the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route as an alternative to routes transiting Russia and a part of supply chain diversification. The EU, together with partner institutions, is also accelerating investment in the Global Gateway framework to support connectivity in Central Asia.
But the persistent threat of climate volatility looms large over the corridor’s reliability: water shortages can disrupt industry and agriculture, strain power networks and increase operational risks for transport and logistics, undermining Europe’s goals of resilient connectivity and strategic autonomy.

Food security adds another global dimension. Central Asia is a major wheat producer, with Kazakhstan among the world’s leading exporters. Water shortages that reduce output ripple through global markets, affecting import-dependent regions in the Middle East and South Asia, and contributing to price volatility in Europe. Disruptions in Central Asia add another layer of fragility to stressed global food systems.
Efforts are under way to address the region’s growing water challenges. Kazakhstan, the region’s largest state, has modernised parts of its water governance framework, invested in more efficient irrigation systems and expanded its renewable energy capacity to reduce reliance on water-intensive thermal power plants. The government has also sought to make water cooperation a regional priority, recognising that upstream-downstream tensions cannot be managed unilaterally.
This was highlighted in a recent speech by Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev, who cited the partial recovery of the Northern Aral Sea and stressed that Kazakhstan’s progress ultimately depends on cooperation with upstream neighbours, as most major rivers originate beyond its borders. He emphasised “skilful water diplomacy”, noting Astana has concluded water-use agreements with all Central Asian states, while highlighting that long-term solutions for shared basins require regional consensus.
Tokayev also reiterated Kazakhstan’s proposal to establish an International Water Organisation under the United Nations to manage climate-driven water stress and prevent wider regional instability. For water-stressed regions like Central Asia, such an institution could reinforce water security as a core pillar of international stability.

Central Asian states also need better flood and drought forecasting, climate modelling and risk mapping to improve hydrological projections and identify vulnerable areas. Stronger data and early-warning systems can enable preventive action, reducing human and economic losses.
The benefits are clear. Research suggests an US$800 million investment in early-warning systems could avert US$3-16 billion in annual climate-related losses in developing countries. Even just 24 hours’ notice can reduce the damage by 30 per cent.
Kazakhstan is well positioned to spearhead such efforts. In April, Astana will host the Regional Ecological Summit, bringing together Central Asian governments and international partners to shift the focus towards coordinated responses to shared climate and environmental risks. The summit also creates a space for neighbours like China to engage constructively with the region.
Central Asia could draw on China’s significant experience in transboundary water management and climate adaptation. To this end, expanded Sino-Central Asian cooperation – covering data sharing, joint glacier monitoring and coordinated drought planning – would enhance regional stability, especially along China’s western frontier.

Chinese investment can also help address growing local vulnerabilities. As hydrological volatility threatens belt and road assets, targeted investment in water-efficient agriculture, modern irrigation and climate-resilient infrastructure would stabilise local economies while protecting long-term investment. For Beijing, such cooperation supports border stability and safeguards key economic corridors.
Meanwhile, the EU’s regulatory expertise, climate finance and environmental monitoring capabilities can bolster regional adaptation efforts through expanded climate-finance flows, satellite-based river and glacier monitoring, and support for modernising water infrastructure. These measures align with the EU’s broader climate and connectivity agenda, including the Global Gateway’s €700 million (US$829 million) water, energy and climate initiative and the EU-Central Asia road map.
As global crises compete for attention, Central Asia’s water emergency risks being overlooked. Yet its water insecurity shapes trade flows between Asia and Europe, affects global food markets and contributes to geopolitical instability across Eurasia.
For Beijing and Brussels, supporting Central Asia’s efforts to manage water stress is an exercise in strategic foresight. A more resilient Central Asia can help protect transnational economic corridors and reduce the risk of crises spilling across borders. Engaging now offers a pragmatic and timely path towards that outcome.


Why China and Europe should care about Central Asia’s water crisis

The Dzungarian Alatau mountain range in Kazakhstan. Photo: Central Asia

The Trans-Caspian International Transport Route. Photo: https://middlecorridor.com/en

A man jumps into the water of Balkhash lake in front of a Kazakhmys copper smelter in Balkhash, Kazakhstan, on June 20, 2024. Photo: AFP

Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev with a departing Chinese President Xi Jinping after the second China-Central Asia Summit in Astana, Kazakhstan, on June 18, 2025. Photo: Xinhua

Opinion

Asia Opinion

China Opinion

World Opinion

News

World

Russia & Central Asia

China

Diplomacy

Europe

Central Asian rivers shape Eurasian trade flows, affect global food markets and contribute to geopolitical instability across the region


Central Asian rivers shape Eurasian trade flows, affect global food markets and contribute to geopolitical instability across the region.


Climate change

Central Asia

Kazakhstan

European Union

China and climate change

Climate change diplomacy

Renewable energy

Banking & finance

Energy

Infrastructure

Belt and Road Initiative

United Nations

Food and agriculture

Xinjiang

Extreme weather

China food security

Kassym-Jomart Tokayev

Expresses the views, ideas and conclusions of the author. (Eg. Enough of Crazy Rich Asians, think of crazy poor Hongkongers.)


.css-1c6uqr6{color:inherit;font-weight:inherit;font-size:inherit;font-family:inherit;line-height:inherit;overflow-wrap:break-word;}Central Asian rivers shape Eurasian trade flows, affect global food markets and contribute to geopolitical instability across the region

Central Asian rivers shape Eurasian trade flows, affect global food markets and contribute to geopolitical instability across the region