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US-China trade war
This Week in AsiaOpinion
Cary Huang

Sino File | What Trump really gains by calling China a currency manipulator

  • China fails to meet two of the three criteria set by the US Treasury to identify currency manipulators
  • So exactly who is manipulating who?

Reading Time:5 minutes
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Donald Trump’s motives for calling China a currency manipulator may not be primarily about trade. Photo: AFP

The Trump administration’s designation of China as a currency manipulator may be more a symbolic move than a substantive one, but it is yet another step in the escalation of conflict between the world’s sole superpower and its biggest, fastest-rising competitor.

The US Treasury Department’s decision came on August 5, the day the yuan dropped past the psychologically significant value of seven to the dollar for the first time in over a decade.

The currency manipulator label did not warrant any immediate action, but requires Washington to have “enhanced engagement” with Beijing. However, both sides have engaged in trade negotiations – which have also covered currency issues – for two years without reaching any agreement. On top of this, the escalation of conflict would only increase the chance of a suspension in the China-US talks scheduled for September and thus further reduce the chance of a near-term trade deal.

Currency manipulation would certainly make a difference to the trade war, as a weakening currency may help a country lift its exports. A weaker yuan would make Chinese goods cheaper, as it helps offset the negative impact of punitive tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Meanwhile, the relatively strong dollar will also make American exports relatively more expensive for Chinese consumers.
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Beijing has repeatedly pledged that it has no intention of using the yuan as a tool to manage the impact from international trade disputes. In a July meeting on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Japan, US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping agreed to refrain from competitive devaluation of currencies as a toll in the trade war.

When announcing the designation, the Treasury said China had “a long history of facilitating an undervalued currency” and had taken “concrete steps to devalue its currency” in recent days to gain an unfair advantage.

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As it happens, the US has a long history of waging currency wars in Asia. Washington designated both Taiwan and South Korea as currency manipulators in 1988, the year Congress enacted its currency review law.
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