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United States
This Week in AsiaOpinion
Lucio Blanco Pitlo III

Opinion | Philippines, Vietnam and Thailand: the new frontiers in US-China battle for influence

  • US Defence Secretary Mark Esper’s recent trip to Southeast Asia saw him try to reassure existing allies and roll back the growth of Beijing’s clout
  • But as the region proves a vital foothold for Washington, it must realise its partners are now sovereign actors with full agency and varied interests

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US President Donald Trump during a 2017 visit to Hanoi. Photo: AFP
While the United States has turned a new page in its relations with former adversary Vietnam, cracks in ties with long-standing allies the Philippines and Thailand present challenges for its foreign policy in Southeast Asia. The bid to strengthen its historical alliances in the region – and win a new partner – will test Washington’s ability to sustain its post-war hub-and-spokes system of influence while trying to enlarge it against the backdrop of China’s growing economic and political clout.
On his trip to Southeast Asia earlier this month, US Defence Secretary Mark Esper reassured allies and partners about Washington’s commitment to the region while he tried to roll back Chinese influence. The trip was the second multi-country visit he had made to the region in the past three months, signalling its strategic importance to the American concept of a free and open Indo-Pacific. Washington’s response to an array of challenges in Southeast Asia, from the South China Sea to its rivalry with China, may determine the US’ role in a mega-region it considers most consequential for its future.

When it comes to establishing a new regional partner, American relations with its former cold war nemesis Vietnam surprisingly hold the most promise. From security and energy to aviation, bilateral ties show encouraging gains, although problems persist.

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In Hanoi, Esper met Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc, defence minister Ngo Xuan Lich, and Tran Quoc Vuong, the executive secretary of the Communist Party. This high-level welcome speaks of the tremendous turnaround in relations in recent years, marked by the lifting of the arms embargo in 2016 and the visit of aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson last year.

In a speech at the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam, Esper used story written by Greek historian Thucydides – in which Athens, a naval power, used the logic of “might is right” to subjugate the independent island of Melos – as an analogy for China’s actions in the South China Sea. Aside from getting vocal US support against Chinese interference in Vietnam’s oil and gas activities, Hanoi will also receive a second Hamilton-class endurance cutter.

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US defence secretary Mark Esper and Vietnamese defence minister Ngo Xuan Lich in Hanoi on November 20. Photo: AP
US defence secretary Mark Esper and Vietnamese defence minister Ngo Xuan Lich in Hanoi on November 20. Photo: AP

In early November, commerce secretary Wilbur Ross led a trade mission to the Vietnamese capital, which saw several billion-dollar deals struck. These include an offshore oil production-sharing contract between American firm Murphy Oil, South Korean firm SK Innovation and state-owned PetroVietnam. AES Corporation, another US company, signed a deal to build a gas-fired power plant connected to a liquefied natural gas terminal.

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