Canada wildfires: how did they start and what role is climate change playing?

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  • Canada is experiencing its worst wildfire season in recent years with thousands of people fleeing the northern city
  • Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre says there were 1,054 active wildfires in Canada, including 230 in the Northwest Territories and 669 deemed out of control as of Wednesday
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A screengrab from a video showing vehicles driving on the freeway as people evacuate from Yellowknife, Canada, on Wednesday. Photo: UGC /AFP

More than 20,000 people in Yellowknife were evacuating the northern Canadian city as fire crews on Thursday battled to keep wildfires from reaching the city – the latest chapter in the country’s worst fire season ever.

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What parts of Canada have wildfires hit?

Wildfires are common in Canada’s western provinces, but this year the eastern provinces of Nova Scotia, Quebec and parts of Ontario have also reeled from out-of-control wildfires.

This week, the focus returned to the west, as wildfires burned about 16km (10 miles) northwest of Yellowknife, the capital of the vast, sparsely populated Northwest Territories. The fires may reach the city’s outskirts by the weekend, the Territories’ fire information officer, Mike Westwick, told the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation on Thursday.

As of Wednesday, there were 1,054 active wildfires in Canada, including 230 in the Northwest Territories and 669 deemed out of control, according to the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre. There have been 5,738 such fires so far this year, which have burned 13.7 million hectares (33.9 million acres). At least four firefighters have died in Canada.

The previous record wildfire season was in 1989, when 7.6 million hectares (18.8 million hectares) were torched. This year’s fires started in late April in the western provinces of British Columbia and Alberta, displacing more than 30,000 people at their peak, and temporarily shutting down oil and gas production.

Smoke rising from wildfires near Yellowknife, Canada, August 13. Photo: UGC/AFP

What’s happening in and around Yellowknife?

Yellowknife residents have until noon on Friday (1800 GMT) to evacuate under an order issued on Wednesday. The Northwest Territories, with a population of just 46,000 people, have limited infrastructure, and there is only one road out of the city to Alberta to the south.

Thousands of residents have already fled smaller communities, and Enterprise, a hamlet near the Alberta border, was nearly destroyed by a blaze on Sunday. In a social media post, the Northwest Territories’ fire service said a wildfire that had been threatening Hay River, a community of some 3,000 further south on Great Slave Lake, had stalled overnight.

Diamond producer De Beers said in a statement that its Gahcho Kue mine, some 280km (170 miles) northeast of Yellowknife, continued to operate, although some employees from surrounding communities had evacuated.

In May 2016, a huge fire destroyed 10 per cent of structures in the northern energy-producing Alberta city of Fort McMurray, forcing the evacuation of 90,000 residents and shutting in more than a million barrels per day of oil output. In June 2021, 90% of the structures in the British Columbia village of Lytton burned down.

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How are the wildfires hurting air quality?

Smoke from this season’s fires has made the air unhealthy to breathe across Canada and swathes of the United States, prompting warnings and recommendations that people limit their time outside or wear masks.

In this week’s fires, the Canadian government’s air quality health index put Yellowknife and Fort Smith at “very high risk” and Winnipeg, Manitoba’s capital 1,700km (1,060 miles) to the southeast, at “high risk.”

Earlier this fire season, authorities issued air quality warnings for Canada’s capital Ottawa and financial capital Toronto. In the US, air quality alerts were issued for sections of the Midwest, the East Coast and the South, including New York, Washington and Chicago.

Satellite image from Nasa Earth Observatory taken on August 16 shows fires burning near Yellowknife, Northwest Territories, Canada. Photo: Nasa Earth Observatory/AFP

What is the outlook for the fires?

Most recent government projections indicate the potential for higher-than-normal fire activity will persist across much of Canada in August and September.

Next month, the potential area at extreme risk is expected to become a bit smaller, covering southern British Columbia, the Prairies, part of the Northwest Territories and western Ontario, a government official said. In much of that area, the number of new fires will taper off as autumn arrives. Large existing fires are expected to continue burning or smouldering, and new problematic fires can occur anywhere, the official said.

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What’s causing the fires?

Drought has been a contributing factor to the number and intensity of this year’s fires, officials say, with high temperatures exacerbating the situation. Much of Canada has seen abnormally dry – or worse – conditions.

Atlantic Canada received low snowfall this winter, followed by an exceptionally dry spring. Most of the wildfires are believed to have been accidentally caused by human activity.

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What role is climate change playing?

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in June attributed the increase in the number of wildfires to climate change. Ellen Whitman, a research scientist with the Canadian Forest Service, said it is difficult to determine the impact of climate change on a single fire season.

For coastal regions, climate change is expected to bring more rain, which should reduce the fire risk, but a warmer atmosphere is more efficient at pulling moisture out of soils, a factor that increases fire risk.

Widespread spring fires across the whole of Canada are also unusual, and research shows fire seasons across North America are getting longer.

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