Douglas H. Paal

Douglas H. Paal

Douglas H. Paal is vice-president for studies and director of the Asia Programme at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Latest from Douglas H. Paal

Opinion | Coronavirus crisis caught Donald Trump and Xi Jinping unprepared, and US-China relations are going from bad to worse

Trump’s ineptitude at managing the Covid-19 crisis has been equalled only by his agonising daily briefings. Meanwhile, Xi is trying to divert attention from Beijing’s early lapses by authorising propaganda to restore China’s image.

22 Apr 2020 - 4:44AM

Trump’s ineptitude at managing the Covid-19 crisis has been equalled only by his agonising daily briefings. Meanwhile, Xi is trying to divert attention from Beijing’s early lapses by authorising propaganda to restore China’s image.

Coronavirus crisis caught Donald Trump and Xi Jinping unprepared, and US-China relations are going from bad to worse
Opinion | Mike Pence’s China speech had two messages – and two audiences – along with some good news on the trade war

The US vice-president’s speech had two tasks: reassure financial markets ahead of the 2020 election while also rousing Trump’s political base. Red meat thrown to the latter crowd made headlines and irritated Beijing, but the speech also left leeway on a trade deal.

30 Oct 2019 - 4:29AM

The US vice-president’s speech had two tasks: reassure financial markets ahead of the 2020 election while also rousing Trump’s political base. Red meat thrown to the latter crowd made headlines and irritated Beijing, but the speech also left leeway on a trade deal.

Mike Pence’s China speech had two messages – and two audiences – along with some good news on the trade war
Opinion | The US and China take their rivalry into more dangerous waters after collapse of trade talks

Since the breakdown of the latest round of trade negotiations, the Trump administration has signalled that all-out containment, rather than competition, now guides its dealings with China.

30 May 2019 - 4:22AM

Since the breakdown of the latest round of trade negotiations, the Trump administration has signalled that all-out containment, rather than competition, now guides its dealings with China.

The US and China take their rivalry into more dangerous waters after collapse of trade talks
Opinion | Why a settlement with Huawei rather than cutting it off is in the US’ best interests

As American allies like the UK and Germany seem unlikely to ban the Chinese telecoms giant, the US should capitalise on its current position of strength to negotiate an agreement that constrains Huawei’s ability to pose a security threat.

27 Feb 2019 - 4:51AM

As American allies like the UK and Germany seem unlikely to ban the Chinese telecoms giant, the US should capitalise on its current position of strength to negotiate an agreement that constrains Huawei’s ability to pose a security threat.

Why a settlement with Huawei rather than cutting it off is in the US’ best interests
Opinion | Why now is the right time for China to recommit to its 2013 reform agenda

Beijing should seize the moment, amid the trade truce and 40th anniversary of opening up, to push on with its reform agenda as a face-saving way to ease tensions with the US.

11 Dec 2018 - 4:09AM

Beijing should seize the moment, amid the trade truce and 40th anniversary of opening up, to push on with its reform agenda as a face-saving way to ease tensions with the US.

Why now is the right time for China to recommit to its 2013 reform agenda
Opinion | How US-China disputes on trade, Taiwan and the South China Sea are driven by Washington’s new generation

Officials in the US government are today much warier of Beijing, thanks to fresh memories of Xi Jinping’s power grab and its territorial ambitions, compared with those now retired who had experience of pre-reform China.

11 Oct 2018 - 1:32AM

Officials in the US government are today much warier of Beijing, thanks to fresh memories of Xi Jinping’s power grab and its territorial ambitions, compared with those now retired who had experience of pre-reform China.

How US-China disputes on trade, Taiwan and the South China Sea are driven by Washington’s new generation
Trump’s giveaways to North Korea are a sign of the US’ diminishing presence on the world stage

In the eagerness to make a deal and woo American voters, Donald Trump has further chipped away at the US’ global security presence.

14 Jun 2018 - 2:01AM

In the eagerness to make a deal and woo American voters, Donald Trump has further chipped away at the US’ global security presence.

Trump’s giveaways to North Korea are a sign of the US’ diminishing presence on the world stage
Behind China’s smiling diplomacy lies a growing military might, and its neighbours should be alert to the fact

China’s military moves since the 19th party congress should be a warning to its neighbours to start thinking about their relationship collectively.

27 Feb 2018 - 7:24PM

China’s military moves since the 19th party congress should be a warning to its neighbours to start thinking about their relationship collectively.

Behind China’s smiling diplomacy lies a growing military might, and its neighbours should be alert to the fact
Will Xi Jinping’s charm offensive win over China’s wary neighbours?

Beijing is softening its diplomatic approach to head off the possibility of an anti-China coalition forming on its doorstep.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM

Beijing is softening its diplomatic approach to head off the possibility of an anti-China coalition forming on its doorstep.

Will Xi Jinping’s charm offensive win over China’s wary neighbours?
China must help the White House save Trump from himself
Three ways the US can prevent Kim Jong-un’s nuclear missiles from taking off
100-day record of Donald Trump’s imagination is a far cry from the reality
Can Xi Jinping and Donald Trump show maturity when it matters, despite their contrasting styles?
2017, the year Chairman Xi Jinping will come into his own
How the realities of office will temper Trump and his team
The US can no longer overlook Asia’s re-emerging great powers
Obama is saving the best for last