Douglas H. Paal

Douglas H. Paal

Douglas H. Paal is a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He previously served as vice-chairman of JPMorgan Chase International (2006–2008) and was an unofficial US representative to Taiwan as director of the American Institute in Taiwan (2002–2006).

Show more

Latest from Douglas H. Paal

Opinion | Domestic politics is driving US and China to seek a ‘time out’ amid rising tensions

Agreements reached on a host of contentious issues, before and after the Xi-Biden summit, were made possible by the need for both leaders to focus on domestic challenges. Renewed engagement is especially timely between the two militaries.

Agreements reached on a host of contentious issues, before and after the Xi-Biden summit, were made possible by the need for both leaders to focus on domestic challenges. Renewed engagement is especially timely between the two militaries.

9 Dec 2021 - 4:27AM
Opinion | Austin’s Southeast Asian tour shows a better way for the US to counter China

After over a decade of neglect, US defence secretary Lloyd Austin struck the right note in promoting relations with Southeast Asia for their own sake, rather than denouncing China at every turn.

After over a decade of neglect, US defence secretary Lloyd Austin struck the right note in promoting relations with Southeast Asia for their own sake, rather than denouncing China at every turn.

5 Aug 2021 - 2:06AM
Opinion | Why Joe Biden is taking his time with America’s China policy

The Biden administration is trying to tighten the loose ends of the China policy left behind by Trump, while keeping the policy details in the shadows. It suits the White House to ride a wave of bipartisan hostility towards Beijing, and to try to preserve its congressional majority in the 2022 midterm election.

The Biden administration is trying to tighten the loose ends of the China policy left behind by Trump, while keeping the policy details in the shadows. It suits the White House to ride a wave of bipartisan hostility towards Beijing, and to try to preserve its congressional majority in the 2022 midterm election.

16 Jun 2021 - 2:18AM
Opinion | Washington needs time to repair Trump’s damage. The US-China talks and its stance on Taiwan have bought just that

Keeping the peace with China will give the US time to deal with the pandemic, right social wrongs, and restore competitiveness at home.

Keeping the peace with China will give the US time to deal with the pandemic, right social wrongs, and restore competitiveness at home.

26 Mar 2021 - 1:01PM
Opinion | Why Joe Biden’s first order of business should be America, not China

Rebuilding America’s competitiveness at home and leadership abroad should be top priority for Biden. China must come later – when the US has regained its strength – and the focus should be on a return to routine.

Rebuilding America’s competitiveness at home and leadership abroad should be top priority for Biden. China must come later – when the US has regained its strength – and the focus should be on a return to routine.

20 Nov 2020 - 3:59AM
Opinion | First step for US after a Joe Biden win is keeping Donald Trump from doing more harm

If Trump loses the election, he could impose a high cost on America’s reputation and government functions even if he tries to stop a transition of power. The first task after the election is to prevent Trump and his staff from engaging in scorched-earth tactics, before ensuring the government works properly again.

If Trump loses the election, he could impose a high cost on America’s reputation and government functions even if he tries to stop a transition of power. The first task after the election is to prevent Trump and his staff from engaging in scorched-earth tactics, before ensuring the government works properly again.

17 Oct 2020 - 7:12AM
Opinion | US-China relations: Beijing is wise to ease tensions as Donald Trump seeks an election boost

Despite months of effort, the US president has failed to get American voters more focused on China’s culpability than on his administration’s mishandling of the pandemic. Beijing is not out of the woods yet, though, as Trump’s China hawks could still leave a legacy of severed US-China ties.

Despite months of effort, the US president has failed to get American voters more focused on China’s culpability than on his administration’s mishandling of the pandemic. Beijing is not out of the woods yet, though, as Trump’s China hawks could still leave a legacy of severed US-China ties.

20 Aug 2020 - 4:24AM
Opinion | Coronavirus crisis caught Donald Trump and Xi Jinping unprepared, and US-China relations are going from bad to worse

Trump’s ineptitude at managing the Covid-19 crisis has been equalled only by his agonising daily briefings. Meanwhile, Xi is trying to divert attention from Beijing’s early lapses by authorising propaganda to restore China’s image.

Trump’s ineptitude at managing the Covid-19 crisis has been equalled only by his agonising daily briefings. Meanwhile, Xi is trying to divert attention from Beijing’s early lapses by authorising propaganda to restore China’s image.

22 Apr 2020 - 4:44AM
Opinion | Mike Pence’s China speech had two messages – and two audiences – along with some good news on the trade war

The US vice-president’s speech had two tasks: reassure financial markets ahead of the 2020 election while also rousing Trump’s political base. Red meat thrown to the latter crowd made headlines and irritated Beijing, but the speech also left leeway on a trade deal.

The US vice-president’s speech had two tasks: reassure financial markets ahead of the 2020 election while also rousing Trump’s political base. Red meat thrown to the latter crowd made headlines and irritated Beijing, but the speech also left leeway on a trade deal.

30 Oct 2019 - 4:29AM
Opinion | The US and China take their rivalry into more dangerous waters after collapse of trade talks

Since the breakdown of the latest round of trade negotiations, the Trump administration has signalled that all-out containment, rather than competition, now guides its dealings with China.

Since the breakdown of the latest round of trade negotiations, the Trump administration has signalled that all-out containment, rather than competition, now guides its dealings with China.

30 May 2019 - 4:22AM
Opinion | Why a settlement with Huawei rather than cutting it off is in the US’ best interests

As American allies like the UK and Germany seem unlikely to ban the Chinese telecoms giant, the US should capitalise on its current position of strength to negotiate an agreement that constrains Huawei’s ability to pose a security threat.

As American allies like the UK and Germany seem unlikely to ban the Chinese telecoms giant, the US should capitalise on its current position of strength to negotiate an agreement that constrains Huawei’s ability to pose a security threat.

27 Feb 2019 - 4:51AM
Opinion | Why now is the right time for China to recommit to its 2013 reform agenda

Beijing should seize the moment, amid the trade truce and 40th anniversary of opening up, to push on with its reform agenda as a face-saving way to ease tensions with the US.

Beijing should seize the moment, amid the trade truce and 40th anniversary of opening up, to push on with its reform agenda as a face-saving way to ease tensions with the US.

11 Dec 2018 - 4:09AM
Opinion | How US-China disputes on trade, Taiwan and the South China Sea are driven by Washington’s new generation

Officials in the US government are today much warier of Beijing, thanks to fresh memories of Xi Jinping’s power grab and its territorial ambitions, compared with those now retired who had experience of pre-reform China.

Officials in the US government are today much warier of Beijing, thanks to fresh memories of Xi Jinping’s power grab and its territorial ambitions, compared with those now retired who had experience of pre-reform China.

11 Oct 2018 - 1:32AM
Trump’s giveaways to North Korea are a sign of the US’ diminishing presence on the world stage

In the eagerness to make a deal and woo American voters, Donald Trump has further chipped away at the US’ global security presence.

In the eagerness to make a deal and woo American voters, Donald Trump has further chipped away at the US’ global security presence.

14 Jun 2018 - 2:01AM
Behind China’s smiling diplomacy lies a growing military might, and its neighbours should be alert to the fact

China’s military moves since the 19th party congress should be a warning to its neighbours to start thinking about their relationship collectively.

China’s military moves since the 19th party congress should be a warning to its neighbours to start thinking about their relationship collectively.

27 Feb 2018 - 7:24PM
Will Xi Jinping’s charm offensive win over China’s wary neighbours?

Beijing is softening its diplomatic approach to head off the possibility of an anti-China coalition forming on its doorstep.

Beijing is softening its diplomatic approach to head off the possibility of an anti-China coalition forming on its doorstep.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
29 Aug 2017 - 7:31PM
25 Jul 2017 - 6:57PM
20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM
19 Jan 2017 - 7:10PM
20 Jul 2018 - 2:54PM
5 Dec 2016 - 8:46AM