China Economy
What makes the world's second largest economy tick
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Background explainers, news and analysis on China’s economy, including its opening up, the US-China trade war, the impact of tariffs and trade talks, growth rates and other key economic data, the Belt and Road Initiative, and Greater Bay Area plan.
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Global economic confidence is still under pressure, although the US debt ceiling crisis has been averted. As world trade conditions weigh on Chinese exports, there is scope for higher domestic consumer demand or more investment in key infrastructure projects.
Emerging market stocks have had a lacklustre year so far compared with developed markets. However, the Chinese economy is still on the path to recovery, with policy easing looking increasingly likely, while growth risks loom for the US.
In the past few weeks, concerns about the unevenness and durability of China’s post-Covid recovery have turned to despair. This says more about inflated expectations at the beginning of the year than it does about the tepidness of China’s recovery.
A growing number of countries are diversifying their purchases of weapons, with many turning to China and willing to settle payments in the Chinese currency.
India never had a revolution, so its old power structures continue to shackle economic change. This, coupled with a lack of investment in education, health and social welfare, means India will continue to lag behind China
Policy must be eased further to kick-start other growth engines and reignite investment and consumer confidence, as the external growth environment continues to look weak.
China has come to terms with the reality that to translate numbers into real strength in the long term, it needs education and organisation to mobilise its young people.
If the US political system cannot responsibly handle the hegemony of its currency, global economies cannot be blamed for seeking alternatives to untangle themselves.
First summit with Central Asian nations reflects how they can help Beijing while receiving an economic lifeline at a time of great geopolitical change.
With the unemployment rate of China’s 15-to-24-year-olds at a record high, support for the business sector so it can provide work is paramount.
Hong Kong has long been a service-based economy reliant on finance, tourism, trade logistics and professional services. But as the Chinese economy shifts towards domestic consumption, Hong Kong must change too, to maintain healthy economic and job growth
The fundamental way to improve consumer spending on the mainland is to increase people’s income and lift their confidence.
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