Deng Yuwen

Deng Yuwen is an independent political commentator and international relations scholar. He is currently a visiting scholar at the University of Nottingham, and also a member of council at the Beijing Reform and Development Institute.
Deng Yuwen
Deng Yuwen is an independent political commentator and international relations scholar. He is currently a visiting scholar at the University of Nottingham, and also a member of council at the Beijing Reform and Development Institute.

Latest from Deng Yuwen

Opinion | Beijing offers rare amnesty, but could it be a lost opportunity for China?

President Xi Jinping has shown himself capable of surprise, whether he is responding to the Hong Kong protests or the US trade war. But his failure to pardon political prisoners and rally China proves there are limits to his flexibility.

16 Jul 2019 - 7:22PM

President Xi Jinping has shown himself capable of surprise, whether he is responding to the Hong Kong protests or the US trade war. But his failure to pardon political prisoners and rally China proves there are limits to his flexibility.

Beijing offers rare amnesty, but could it be a lost opportunity for China?
Opinion | To Beijing, Hong Kong’s extradition protests are sealing the city’s fate. Can ‘one country, two systems’ survive?

Hong Kong’s million-strong protests are really directed at Beijing, which will tighten its grip on Hong Kong’s elections, and ramp up the city’s economic and political integration. But Hongkongers still have a chance to control their own destiny.

18 Jun 2019 - 7:25PM

Hong Kong’s million-strong protests are really directed at Beijing, which will tighten its grip on Hong Kong’s elections, and ramp up the city’s economic and political integration. But Hongkongers still have a chance to control their own destiny.

To Beijing, Hong Kong’s extradition protests are sealing the city’s fate. Can ‘one country, two systems’ survive?
Opinion | America’s quarrel is not with Chinese civilisation, but the Chinese Communist Party

Xi Jinping may have provided more ammunition for Washington by hosting a conference on Asian civilisations. But US policymakers are off the mark – they are confusing a threat from the Communist Party with a threat from Chinese culture.

25 May 2019 - 10:15AM

Xi Jinping may have provided more ammunition for Washington by hosting a conference on Asian civilisations. But US policymakers are off the mark – they are confusing a threat from the Communist Party with a threat from Chinese culture.

America’s quarrel is not with Chinese civilisation, but the Chinese Communist Party
Opinion | Xi Jinping won’t force unification on Taiwan for now, the show of force by China’s PLA notwithstanding

Xi has unification on his mind, but the conditions are not ripe for such a course of action, with China still locked in a trade war with the US and Taiwan gearing up for elections. The PLA’s incursion into Taiwanese airspace was intentional, but it won’t be overplayed.

15 Apr 2019 - 3:00AM

Xi has unification on his mind, but the conditions are not ripe for such a course of action, with China still locked in a trade war with the US and Taiwan gearing up for elections. The PLA’s incursion into Taiwanese airspace was intentional, but it won’t be overplayed.

Xi Jinping won’t force unification on Taiwan for now, the show of force by China’s PLA notwithstanding
Opinion | Second time lucky: why Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un will make a real nuclear deal this time

Both Trump and Kim are at a critical juncture. If Trump wants to be re-elected, he needs to achieve a trade deal with China and a nuclear pact with North Korea. Meanwhile, Kim is desperate to save the North Korean economy from US sanctions.

26 Feb 2019 - 3:34AM

Both Trump and Kim are at a critical juncture. If Trump wants to be re-elected, he needs to achieve a trade deal with China and a nuclear pact with North Korea. Meanwhile, Kim is desperate to save the North Korean economy from US sanctions.

Second time lucky: why Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un will make a real nuclear deal this time
Opinion | The trade war won’t shake Xi Jinping’s grip on power in China – for now

The Chinese leader has been asserting his authority following biting criticism last year of his government’s handling of the trade conflict. His power is secure, but surely a China that has celebrated 40 years of reform won’t regress to the days when one person could decide the country’s fate.

30 Jan 2019 - 3:44AM

The Chinese leader has been asserting his authority following biting criticism last year of his government’s handling of the trade conflict. His power is secure, but surely a China that has celebrated 40 years of reform won’t regress to the days when one person could decide the country’s fate.

The trade war won’t shake Xi Jinping’s grip on power in China – for now
Opinion | Why China will wait until 2030 to take back Taiwan – unless the island forces Xi Jinping’s hand

The trade war has set back China’s timetable for reunification with Taiwan. But for political and personal reasons, President Xi Jinping is likely to retake the island, by force if necessary, before he steps down around 2033.

26 Nov 2018 - 6:01AM

The trade war has set back China’s timetable for reunification with Taiwan. But for political and personal reasons, President Xi Jinping is likely to retake the island, by force if necessary, before he steps down around 2033.

Why China will wait until 2030 to take back Taiwan – unless the island forces Xi Jinping’s hand
Opinion | The trade war could well end in November, with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping calling a truce

Signs are pointing to the US-China trade war ending in November. Donald Trump has made an overture to Xi Jinping, and the Chinese have hinted at the possibility of making concessions to the Americans.

31 Oct 2018 - 2:52AM

Signs are pointing to the US-China trade war ending in November. Donald Trump has made an overture to Xi Jinping, and the Chinese have hinted at the possibility of making concessions to the Americans.

The trade war could well end in November, with Donald Trump and Xi Jinping calling a truce
Is reform dead in China? Trump’s trade war may be breathing life back into the cause

China’s economic reforms have stagnated as Beijing does not have the will to wade into political reform and further marketise the economy. However, the trade war with the US might give China the push it needs to change things.

8 Nov 2018 - 3:57PM

China’s economic reforms have stagnated as Beijing does not have the will to wade into political reform and further marketise the economy. However, the trade war with the US might give China the push it needs to change things.

Is reform dead in China? Trump’s trade war may be breathing life back into the cause
Opinion | Trade war raises the spectre of a ‘China collapse’, and Beijing should worry

The impact on China’s economy could destabilise a country already dealing with the twin problems of low public trust and unresponsive government bureaucracy. But although change is inevitable, an eruption of public anger is not.

15 Aug 2018 - 2:36PM

The impact on China’s economy could destabilise a country already dealing with the twin problems of low public trust and unresponsive government bureaucracy. But although change is inevitable, an eruption of public anger is not.

Trade war raises the spectre of a ‘China collapse’, and Beijing should worry
With trade war looming overhead, China’s Beidaihe meeting a chance to discuss what went wrong

The annual informal late-summer gathering of China’s ruling party will almost certainly be devoted to US tariffs and how to respond to them, as well as containing public dissatisfaction and, on a subtle level, discussing the leadership’s mistakes.

25 Jul 2018 - 8:51PM

The annual informal late-summer gathering of China’s ruling party will almost certainly be devoted to US tariffs and how to respond to them, as well as containing public dissatisfaction and, on a subtle level, discussing the leadership’s mistakes.

With trade war looming overhead, China’s Beidaihe meeting a chance to discuss what went wrong
The US sees the trade war as a tactic to contain China. So does Beijing

The trade conflict is only a proxy for the larger battle for dominance between the two powers. With all signs pointing to a Chinese government determined to fight back, given that its goal of national rejuvenation is at stake, China is unlikely to cave in to US pressure.

4 Jul 2018 - 7:07AM

The trade conflict is only a proxy for the larger battle for dominance between the two powers. With all signs pointing to a Chinese government determined to fight back, given that its goal of national rejuvenation is at stake, China is unlikely to cave in to US pressure.

The US sees the trade war as a tactic to contain China. So does Beijing
Why China is becoming a friendlier neighbour in Asia 

Beijing sees the importance of cultivating good relations on its periphery, and is growing into its role as a global power on the rise. Warmer relations with a host of countries, including India, Japan and North Korea, are proof of it.

27 May 2018 - 9:40PM

Beijing sees the importance of cultivating good relations on its periphery, and is growing into its role as a global power on the rise. Warmer relations with a host of countries, including India, Japan and North Korea, are proof of it.

Why China is becoming a friendlier neighbour in Asia 
Why Kim Jong-un’s promise of a nuclear-free North Korea should not be trusted

Kim has rightly calculated that he needed to make some concessions to ease the pressure on his regime, but he will never totally give up the nuclear programme that North Korea has invested so much in.

4 May 2018 - 6:16PM

Kim has rightly calculated that he needed to make some concessions to ease the pressure on his regime, but he will never totally give up the nuclear programme that North Korea has invested so much in.

Why Kim Jong-un’s promise of a nuclear-free North Korea should not be trusted
China’s president for life? Not Xi Jinping, a student of history

Even with the removal of presidential term limits, Xi is too mindful of the lessons of history and the need to win over public opinion to consider holding power till his death.

14 Mar 2018 - 6:26PM

Even with the removal of presidential term limits, Xi is too mindful of the lessons of history and the need to win over public opinion to consider holding power till his death.

China’s president for life? Not Xi Jinping, a student of history
With an end to term limits, Xi can realise his Chinese dream – but will the price for China be too high?

Xi Jinping may have good intentions for removing the rule limiting a president to two terms in office but, in the long run, society won’t be better off by overturning an institution put in place to prevent power abuse.

6 Mar 2018 - 5:53PM

Xi Jinping may have good intentions for removing the rule limiting a president to two terms in office but, in the long run, society won’t be better off by overturning an institution put in place to prevent power abuse.

With an end to term limits, Xi can realise his Chinese dream – but will the price for China be too high?
Will Wang Qishan become Xi Jinping’s go-to man as Chinese vice-president?

The retired anti-corruption chief appears ready to make a political comeback after being named an NPC deputy to the legislative meeting in March.

9 Feb 2018 - 7:36PM

The retired anti-corruption chief appears ready to make a political comeback after being named an NPC deputy to the legislative meeting in March.

Will Wang Qishan become Xi Jinping’s go-to man as Chinese vice-president?
China is revving up its economic reform drive again, as Liu He pledged in Davos

There are many reasons China must recommit itself to its reform and opening up policy. Further reforms would help China meet its own development goals, and avoid a trade war with the US and Europe.

31 Jan 2018 - 7:41PM

There are many reasons China must recommit itself to its reform and opening up policy. Further reforms would help China meet its own development goals, and avoid a trade war with the US and Europe.

China is revving up its economic reform drive again, as Liu He pledged in Davos
Is China planning to take Taiwan by force in 2020?

Beijing may be coming to the conclusion that if it is to achieve reunification with Taiwan, it will have to do it by force, and sooner rather than later.

4 Jan 2018 - 1:30AM

Beijing may be coming to the conclusion that if it is to achieve reunification with Taiwan, it will have to do it by force, and sooner rather than later.

Is China planning to take Taiwan by force in 2020?
Beijing’s eviction of migrants exposes officials’ prejudice and ignorance of human rights

City governments in China should respect people’s freedom of mobility, and sacrificing migrant welfare for a policy goal is shameful discrimination.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM

City governments in China should respect people’s freedom of mobility, and sacrificing migrant welfare for a policy goal is shameful discrimination.

Beijing’s eviction of migrants exposes officials’ prejudice and ignorance of human rights
Why Xi Jinping needs a stronger Communist Party to achieve his Chinese dream
In Xi’s new era, Chinese diplomacy will be a display of hard power

China’s communist leaders signal at their 19th party congress that a muscular foreign policy is vital for the country’s peaceful development.

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM

China’s communist leaders signal at their 19th party congress that a muscular foreign policy is vital for the country’s peaceful development.

In Xi’s new era, Chinese diplomacy will be a display of hard power
Why North Korea’s nuclear test may not be all bad

The recent test, a slap in the face for both China and the US, could have a sobering effect on the two powers, sharpening the choices that lay before them and strengthening their resolve to cooperate for a solution

20 Jul 2018 - 2:55PM

The recent test, a slap in the face for both China and the US, could have a sobering effect on the two powers, sharpening the choices that lay before them and strengthening their resolve to cooperate for a solution

Why North Korea’s nuclear test may not be all bad
The three groups of untouchables in China’s corruption crackdown
Why China isn’t ready to be a global leader
China must take a hard line on both North and South Korea
Donald Tsang’s loss is a victory for Hong Kong’s rule of law
In the Trump era, we can’t rule out war between China and the US, whether over trade or security
China must rein in Pyongyang’s nuclear actions before it’s too late
Collapse of the North Korean regime appears inevitable, and the world needs to prepare for it