Mathieu Duchâtel writes that as trade ties between the EU and the US may be tested in 2020, Beijing thinks the moment to push the transatlantic alliance may be at hand.
Mathieu Duchâtel writes that continuity should be expected from the new team under Ursula Von der Leyen on a defensive China policy agenda, focused on rebalancing the trade and investment relationship.
Mathieu Duchâtel writes that a shared ambition to change the international order and a concern for the nuclear balance of power with the US are helping China get what it needs from Russia.
Mathieu Duchâtel writes that China is not creating military options for deterrence purposes or psychological warfare only. Military action in the name of counterterrorism is plausible in the years ahead.
Mathieu Duchâtel writes that the French government is creating a regulatory environment that helps reduce its vulnerability to foreign intelligence collection.
Mathieu Duchatel writes that Chinese diplomacy worked in Rome with a divided Italy and in Paris with a Franco-German-EU coalition, but the problem of a lack of a political engine for Europe-China cooperation remained unsolved.
Mathieu Duchatel writes that ‘dramatic shifts’ in Xi Jinping’s North Korea policy emerged during the failed Trump-Kim talks in Hanoi.
Just as Europe becomes more restrictive, Beijing seeks to lower barriers for hi-tech acquisitions in a sign of an increasing mismatch between the European Union and China.
Mathieu Duchatel writes that China’s unwillingness to broaden a commitment with other countries to follow agreed rules contradicts its pro-multilateral governance narrative.