Stephen Olson

Stephen Olson

Stephen Olson is a research fellow at the Hinrich Foundation.

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Opinion | In making US supply chains stronger, Joe Biden’s policies may end up looking more like Donald Trump’s than Barack Obama’s

Expect more reshoring to protect US worker interests, and greater regionalisation with partners such as Colombia or Mexico preferred over Asia. Given the radical shift in the US trade landscape, Biden’s policies might have more in common with Trump’s than Obama’s.

Expect more reshoring to protect US worker interests, and greater regionalisation with partners such as Colombia or Mexico preferred over Asia. Given the radical shift in the US trade landscape, Biden’s policies might have more in common with Trump’s than Obama’s.

In making US supply chains stronger, Joe Biden’s policies may end up looking more like Donald Trump’s than Barack Obama’s
5 Mar 2021 - 3:43AM
Opinion | China-EU investment deal shows a Joe Biden united front on trade will not be easy

The EU’s decision to proceed with the deal and ignore Biden’s requests to slow down shows the extent to which US and EU China strategies are not always in sync. Some type of US-EU coalition on China is likely to materialise, but it will be more limited in scope and more complicated to manage than originally thought.

The EU’s decision to proceed with the deal and ignore Biden’s requests to slow down shows the extent to which US and EU China strategies are not always in sync. Some type of US-EU coalition on China is likely to materialise, but it will be more limited in scope and more complicated to manage than originally thought.

China-EU investment deal shows a Joe Biden united front on trade will not be easy
19 Jan 2021 - 6:06AM
The View | Joe Biden’s push for sustainable trade will be a delicate balancing act

Biden is under pressure from Democratic Party progressives to adopt more stringent policies but he must avoid erecting so many barriers for less-developed countries that trade liberalisation is stymied.

Biden is under pressure from Democratic Party progressives to adopt more stringent policies but he must avoid erecting so many barriers for less-developed countries that trade liberalisation is stymied.

Joe Biden’s push for sustainable trade will be a delicate balancing act
5 Dec 2020 - 5:07AM
Opinion | China’s dual circulation strategy is a step towards sustainable trade

The world is not turning its back on trade or globalisation, but it is being driven towards a more nuanced approach with a more realistic balance than the previous ‘more is better’ mindset.

The world is not turning its back on trade or globalisation, but it is being driven towards a more nuanced approach with a more realistic balance than the previous ‘more is better’ mindset.

China’s dual circulation strategy is a step towards sustainable trade
13 Sep 2020 - 6:54AM
Opinion | Under Joe Biden, average Americans will remain at the heart of US trade policy

US attitudes towards free trade have shifted dramatically. A Biden administration would not declare trade wars but would continue to prioritise workers and US manufacturing in its trade policy.

US attitudes towards free trade have shifted dramatically. A Biden administration would not declare trade wars but would continue to prioritise workers and US manufacturing in its trade policy.

Under Joe Biden, average Americans will remain at the heart of US trade policy
17 Oct 2020 - 7:12AM
The View | What if Donald Trump is a one-term president? Why three trade issues can wait

America’s trade partners are closely watching the November presidential election. Whether it is the WTO, China or carmakers, decision makers could be preparing for the possibility that the Trump administration will be voted out.

America’s trade partners are closely watching the November presidential election. Whether it is the WTO, China or carmakers, decision makers could be preparing for the possibility that the Trump administration will be voted out.

What if Donald Trump is a one-term president? Why three trade issues can wait
22 Jul 2020 - 1:06AM
The View | US-China partial decoupling is inevitable, and must be carefully managed to minimise disruption

In a US election year that is seeing the global economy under severe stress from the Covid-19 pandemic, the deteriorating relationship between the world’s two biggest economies has little hope of being mended.

In a US election year that is seeing the global economy under severe stress from the Covid-19 pandemic, the deteriorating relationship between the world’s two biggest economies has little hope of being mended.

US-China partial decoupling is inevitable, and must be carefully managed to minimise disruption
27 May 2020 - 1:33AM
Opinion | US-China war of words over the coronavirus crisis may well reignite the trade war

As the White House moves to systematically reduce US trade dependencies on China, the pandemic is putting pressure on the implementation of the terms of the phase-one deal even before the difficult phase-two negotiations begin. The uneasy US-China truce is unlikely to last long.

As the White House moves to systematically reduce US trade dependencies on China, the pandemic is putting pressure on the implementation of the terms of the phase-one deal even before the difficult phase-two negotiations begin. The uneasy US-China truce is unlikely to last long.

US-China war of words over the coronavirus crisis may well reignite the trade war
8 Apr 2020 - 4:48AM
The View | Coronavirus chaos can prompt a needed rethink on global trade and economic integration

Confidence has suffered as trade wars highlight the risks of interdependence, and tech advances weaken the economic rationale for far-flung supply chains. The coronavirus and its disruptions may finally push the world to consider a new trading order.

Confidence has suffered as trade wars highlight the risks of interdependence, and tech advances weaken the economic rationale for far-flung supply chains. The coronavirus and its disruptions may finally push the world to consider a new trading order.

Coronavirus chaos can prompt a needed rethink on global trade and economic integration
20 Feb 2020 - 5:51AM
Opinion | China and the US need new rules of engagement, not just a trade deal

Any agreement reached in renewed talks between the two is likely to be short-lived, as the cooperation that once underpinned deeper economic integration has been replaced by outright rivalry. The relationship must be redefined.

Any agreement reached in renewed talks between the two is likely to be short-lived, as the cooperation that once underpinned deeper economic integration has been replaced by outright rivalry. The relationship must be redefined.

China and the US need new rules of engagement, not just a trade deal
2 Jul 2019 - 5:14AM
Opinion | The US-China trade war could be a warm-up act for the real conflict over auto tariffs

US tariffs on auto parts from major players such as Germany, Japan, Mexico – and even China – could provoke retaliation that would dwarf the damage caused by Washington’s current conflict with Beijing.

US tariffs on auto parts from major players such as Germany, Japan, Mexico – and even China – could provoke retaliation that would dwarf the damage caused by Washington’s current conflict with Beijing.

The US-China trade war could be a warm-up act for the real conflict over auto tariffs
6 Jun 2019 - 4:23AM
Opinion | Don’t just blame Trump or China for this trade war

There are problems galore with global trade regulations, to the point that we now have an architecture that is no longer perceived as capable of delivering mutually beneficial trade.

There are problems galore with global trade regulations, to the point that we now have an architecture that is no longer perceived as capable of delivering mutually beneficial trade.

Don’t just blame Trump or China for this trade war
8 Jul 2018 - 10:32AM