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South China Sea: Hague case
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  • A view of Beijing as coercive and aggressive has the potential to push countries towards the West if it does not soften, analysts say
  • China ‘cannot keep shooting itself in the foot and then blame Manila or Washington for pulling the trigger’, says Wilson Centre fellow
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China’s focus on versatility, such as autonomous vehicles and AI-equipped weapons, is in contrast to weapons designed for asymmetrical warfare. The US also sees technology as a way to shape the parameters of a potential conflict.

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At Scarborough Shoal, some 900km away from the nearest major Chinese land mass, China’s coastguard ships regularly chase Filipinos away from a fishing ground that’s fewer than 240km west of the Philippines’ main island of Luzon.

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Manila earlier said action would be taken ‘to protect the rights of our fishermen in the area’, while Beijing defended the cordon, saying ‘necessary measures’ were taken after boat ‘intruded’.

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China’s ‘temporary special arrangement’ allowing delivery of food and supplies to old warship seen as attempt to prevent international resistance and isolation from Southeast Asian neighbours.

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Chinese president receives former Philippine leader in Beijing, telling him ‘I hope you will continue to play an important role in the friendly cooperation’.

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It follows a similar move by Vietnam over a scene showing a map of the ‘invalidated nine-dash line’ that China uses to assert claims in the South China Sea.

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Foreign ministers project solidarity as New Delhi joins Manila’s call for adherence to international law, including arbitration ruling against Beijing.

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More of the Southeast Asian nation’s senators have thrown their weight behind a proposal to pursue UN intervention amid Beijing’s continued refusal to accept a 2016 arbitral ruling on the disputed waterway.

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Del Rosario was behind the South China Sea case against Beijing at The Hague. In 2019, he filed a complaint against Chinese officials at the International Criminal Court alleging ‘crimes against humanity’.

China’s intense objections were voiced at the start of two-day talks aimed at assessing overall relations between the two sides amid thorny issues.

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Academic says several major diplomatic incidents involving China – such as the South China Sea arbitration – were essentially legal issues, sparking the shift.

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