Emanuele Scimia

Emanuele Scimia is an independent journalist and foreign affairs analyst.
Emanuele Scimia
Emanuele Scimia is an independent journalist and foreign affairs analyst.

Latest from Emanuele Scimia

Opinion | Will Trump’s tariffs forge a new EU-China alliance? Not unless Beijing bridges the gap on human rights and investment

Europe has concerns over Hong Kong, Huawei and barriers to China’s market that Beijing will have to assuage. But while an anti-Trump front is unlikely, cooperation in other areas, including climate change and infrastructure investment, is possible

10 Oct 2019 - 6:27AM

Europe has concerns over Hong Kong, Huawei and barriers to China’s market that Beijing will have to assuage. But while an anti-Trump front is unlikely, cooperation in other areas, including climate change and infrastructure investment, is possible

Will Trump’s tariffs forge a new EU-China alliance? Not unless Beijing bridges the gap on human rights and investment
Opinion | China’s belt and road projects are not enough to give it sway in the Middle East

Tensions over the attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities threaten belt and road projects in the Gulf and China’s oil lifeline – and reveal Beijing’s lack of soft power and strategic influence.

25 Sep 2019 - 11:05AM

Tensions over the attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities threaten belt and road projects in the Gulf and China’s oil lifeline – and reveal Beijing’s lack of soft power and strategic influence.

China’s belt and road projects are not enough to give it sway in the Middle East
Opinion | Hong Kong protests have dented EU-China ties, but the threat of global recession will prevent Europe from pressing Beijing further

EU-China ties are already strained by South China Sea tensions, Xinjiang detentions and 5G security concerns. The EU is unlikely to spend much political capital pressing Beijing on Hong Kong, with a recession on the horizon.

10 Sep 2019 - 2:47PM

EU-China ties are already strained by South China Sea tensions, Xinjiang detentions and 5G security concerns. The EU is unlikely to spend much political capital pressing Beijing on Hong Kong, with a recession on the horizon.

Hong Kong protests have dented EU-China ties, but the threat of global recession will prevent Europe from pressing Beijing further
Opinion | Does the US really need land-based missiles in the Asia-Pacific?

The collapse of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces treaty could see US strengthening land-based missile defences in the Asia-Pacific, forcing China into an arms race. But many observers question the need for such defences.

23 Aug 2019 - 2:11AM

The collapse of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces treaty could see US strengthening land-based missile defences in the Asia-Pacific, forcing China into an arms race. But many observers question the need for such defences.

Does the US really need land-based missiles in the Asia-Pacific?
Opinion | Cambodia is the US-China rivalry’s latest front, as talk of base access alarms Washington

Phnom Penh and Beijing both deny reports of a new base agreement, but undeniably closer cooperation has Washington on edge. Ultimately, the growing rivalry between the two and the importance of the Indo-Pacific region means further militarisation appears inevitable.

5 Aug 2019 - 3:07AM

Phnom Penh and Beijing both deny reports of a new base agreement, but undeniably closer cooperation has Washington on edge. Ultimately, the growing rivalry between the two and the importance of the Indo-Pacific region means further militarisation appears inevitable.

Cambodia is the US-China rivalry’s latest front, as talk of base access alarms Washington
Opinion | To prevent war with Iran, China could endorse a US-led Gulf military escort scheme

The odds of China joining a multilateral escort plan led by the US are close to zero, but Beijing recognises its use. In particular, China sees it preventing small skirmishes that could escalate, and so may provide tacit endorsement.

16 Jul 2019 - 5:17AM

The odds of China joining a multilateral escort plan led by the US are close to zero, but Beijing recognises its use. In particular, China sees it preventing small skirmishes that could escalate, and so may provide tacit endorsement.

To prevent war with Iran, China could endorse a US-led Gulf military escort scheme
Opinion | Europe continues to welcome Chinese investment in its ports, despite US concerns about Beijing’s global maritime ambitions

The hard reality for Trump is that Chinese businesses are modernising European port infrastructure and creating jobs as part of belt and road integration. Many in Europe see US fears about the Chinese navy gaining greater strategic access as overblown.

21 Jun 2019 - 2:55AM

The hard reality for Trump is that Chinese businesses are modernising European port infrastructure and creating jobs as part of belt and road integration. Many in Europe see US fears about the Chinese navy gaining greater strategic access as overblown.

Europe continues to welcome Chinese investment in its ports, despite US concerns about Beijing’s global maritime ambitions
Opinion | Donald Trump’s intimidation of Iran with US Navy movements in the Persian Gulf risks weakening its South China Sea operations

The US Navy is in danger of spreading itself too thin and needs support from allies and like-minded countries in the South China Sea.

21 May 2019 - 3:26AM

The US Navy is in danger of spreading itself too thin and needs support from allies and like-minded countries in the South China Sea.

Donald Trump’s intimidation of Iran with US Navy movements in the Persian Gulf risks weakening its South China Sea operations
Opinion | China’s 5G tech may do more than revolutionise communications – it may redraw global security alliances

The US has been clear that it will reconsider its partnerships with countries that use crucial Chinese technology. However, ultimately, the appeal of 5G may lure many countries away from the US.

20 Apr 2019 - 3:04AM

The US has been clear that it will reconsider its partnerships with countries that use crucial Chinese technology. However, ultimately, the appeal of 5G may lure many countries away from the US.

China’s 5G tech may do more than revolutionise communications – it may redraw global security alliances
Opinion | The EU’s China strategy, while avoiding Trump-style confrontation, puts European unity to the test

While it won’t confront China as Trump has done, the grouping wants to address its concerns over some Chinese policies through a united front. Italy’s lone endorsement of the belt and road recently shows the challenge it faces.

28 Mar 2019 - 12:12AM

While it won’t confront China as Trump has done, the grouping wants to address its concerns over some Chinese policies through a united front. Italy’s lone endorsement of the belt and road recently shows the challenge it faces.

The EU’s China strategy, while avoiding Trump-style confrontation, puts European unity to the test
Opinion | China and the EU are unlikely to become allies against Trump’s trade war, however much Beijing wishes otherwise

The continuing Chinese charm offensive is far from winning over EU sceptics who have long complained of Beijing’s unfair trade and investment practices, and in fact have taken action to counter it.

5 Dec 2018 - 8:14PM

The continuing Chinese charm offensive is far from winning over EU sceptics who have long complained of Beijing’s unfair trade and investment practices, and in fact have taken action to counter it.

China and the EU are unlikely to become allies against Trump’s trade war, however much Beijing wishes otherwise
Opinion | With a wary eye on China’s maritime expansion, the US is switching up a gear in the Indo-Pacific

Washington sees a connection between Beijing’s overseas infrastructure projects and military strategy objectives, and is trying to weaken China’s grip on some countries in the Indo-Pacific.

23 Aug 2018 - 12:46PM

Washington sees a connection between Beijing’s overseas infrastructure projects and military strategy objectives, and is trying to weaken China’s grip on some countries in the Indo-Pacific.

With a wary eye on China’s maritime expansion, the US is switching up a gear in the Indo-Pacific
South China Sea progress between China and Asean will run into choppy waters with the US

Emanuele Scimia says despite progress on a code of conduct in the South China Sea between China and Asean, the US will not cede influence in the region easily.

7 Aug 2018 - 2:15PM

Emanuele Scimia says despite progress on a code of conduct in the South China Sea between China and Asean, the US will not cede influence in the region easily.

South China Sea progress between China and Asean will run into choppy waters with the US
Taiwan’s dream of having its own submarine fleet must yield to a more realistic China defence plan

Quite apart from the forbidding price tag, the problem of technology access and the sheer imbalance in firepower, considering China’s naval assets, are challenges Taipei is unlikely to overcome.

19 Jul 2018 - 8:46PM

Quite apart from the forbidding price tag, the problem of technology access and the sheer imbalance in firepower, considering China’s naval assets, are challenges Taipei is unlikely to overcome.

Taiwan’s dream of having its own submarine fleet must yield to a more realistic China defence plan
French and British navies draw closer in the Pacific. Should China worry?

While France and Britain are jointly stepping up their military presence in regional waters, it’s not a given they will fully back America’s muscular position against China in the South China Sea.

4 Jun 2018 - 8:31PM

While France and Britain are jointly stepping up their military presence in regional waters, it’s not a given they will fully back America’s muscular position against China in the South China Sea.

French and British navies draw closer in the Pacific. Should China worry?
Why Iran nuclear deal fallout could scuttle China’s Middle East ambitions 

China has a big stake in ensuring that the Iran nuclear deal stays intact as its investment and influence in the Middle East grows.

9 May 2018 - 8:39PM

China has a big stake in ensuring that the Iran nuclear deal stays intact as its investment and influence in the Middle East grows.

Why Iran nuclear deal fallout could scuttle China’s Middle East ambitions 
Britain’s naval expansion in the Indo-Pacific will anger China, and accomplish little else

The UK’s recent expansion to the East, including establishing a naval base in Bahrain and naval stopovers with Beijing’s regional rivals, can’t hide the fact that the UK cannot project power in China’s backyard by itself.

13 Apr 2018 - 7:41PM

The UK’s recent expansion to the East, including establishing a naval base in Bahrain and naval stopovers with Beijing’s regional rivals, can’t hide the fact that the UK cannot project power in China’s backyard by itself.

Britain’s naval expansion in the Indo-Pacific will anger China, and accomplish little else
How Taiwan’s own silk road could help reduce regional tensions
Can China really buy its way to global cultural influence via the soccer pitch?
Is Russia entering the fray in the East China Sea?
Taiwan must weigh strategic needs as it feuds with Japan and the Philippines over territorial disputes
In the South and East China seas, an anti-China coalition is taking shape
China’s mishandling of North Korea’s nuclear ambitions may come back to haunt it
China, the US and the paradox of tension in the Taiwan Strait
Beijing’s initiative on Syria highlights the constraints of Chinese diplomacy
No permanent friends for Britain in newly pragmatic foreign policy
No sign of a thaw in ties between Beijing and Holy See, despite ordination of Vatican-chosen bishop in Henan
China emerges a major winner from Iran nuclear deal