Brian P. Klein

Brian P. Klein

Brian P. Klein (@brianpklein) is a geopolitical and economic strategist and former US diplomat.

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Latest from Brian P. Klein

Opinion | How a circular economy will let the world fight climate change and ensure growth

The degrowth movement is gaining popularity, but neither people nor countries are ready to stop consuming to save the environment. Instead, we can use the power of economic incentives to dramatically alter the type of growth going forward and still head off climate change.

The degrowth movement is gaining popularity, but neither people nor countries are ready to stop consuming to save the environment. Instead, we can use the power of economic incentives to dramatically alter the type of growth going forward and still head off climate change.

21 Aug 2022 - 9:22PM
Opinion | Foreigners are leaving China in droves. Does the nation want or need them any more?

The exodus is a sign not only of the heavy toll exacted by China’s zero-Covid policies, but also of the country’s turn inwards. Foreigners are no longer considered vital to progress. But the loss of the very people with long-term knowledge, experience and connections to China is significant.

The exodus is a sign not only of the heavy toll exacted by China’s zero-Covid policies, but also of the country’s turn inwards. Foreigners are no longer considered vital to progress. But the loss of the very people with long-term knowledge, experience and connections to China is significant.

5 Jul 2022 - 12:30AM
Opinion | How rising India’s Quad role is helping it find its place among global powers

India is moving quickly to secure its place among global power brokers as it grows into a diplomatic and economic force. This shift from a neutral position is largely due to China’s growing influence, with relations plagued by mistrust over armed conflict along their shared borders.

India is moving quickly to secure its place among global power brokers as it grows into a diplomatic and economic force. This shift from a neutral position is largely due to China’s growing influence, with relations plagued by mistrust over armed conflict along their shared borders.

6 Jun 2022 - 9:15AM
Opinion | What decentralised finance can teach the world of business and geopolitics

The crises stemming from Covid-19 and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine show the world is sorely in need of greater resilience. Balancing decentralisation with authority is becoming critical for success in new models of investment, business continuity and national security.

The crises stemming from Covid-19 and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine show the world is sorely in need of greater resilience. Balancing decentralisation with authority is becoming critical for success in new models of investment, business continuity and national security.

2 May 2022 - 1:30AM
The View | Why Russia and China’s move to shift world away from the US dollar is doomed to fail

Attempts to de-dollarise global trade so Russia can keep selling commodities are running into difficulties while the rouble continues to depreciate. The US dollar’s role as a freely exchangeable currency recognised the world over is withstanding Russian attempts to weaken the West.

Attempts to de-dollarise global trade so Russia can keep selling commodities are running into difficulties while the rouble continues to depreciate. The US dollar’s role as a freely exchangeable currency recognised the world over is withstanding Russian attempts to weaken the West.

1 Apr 2022 - 8:03AM
Opinion | Putin has doomed Russia with a war that can’t be won

His attack on Ukraine has galvanised near global opposition. With the rouble in free fall, the economy teetering on collapse and the country largely isolated, how long can Putin sustain domestic support?

His attack on Ukraine has galvanised near global opposition. With the rouble in free fall, the economy teetering on collapse and the country largely isolated, how long can Putin sustain domestic support?

4 Mar 2022 - 3:14AM
Opinion | How India and Southeast Asia can save global growth as US and China stagnate

Both China and the United States, the two biggest engines of global economic activity, face severe slowdowns. India and the ‘Asean-5’ could emerge as saviours of global growth, thanks to their young, tech-savvy populations and low wages.

Both China and the United States, the two biggest engines of global economic activity, face severe slowdowns. India and the ‘Asean-5’ could emerge as saviours of global growth, thanks to their young, tech-savvy populations and low wages.

3 Feb 2022 - 5:06AM
Opinion | What will sustain US-China relations if economic gains no longer suffice?

With economic trends getting worse and calls for US companies to bring production home growing louder, the future foundation for the US-China relationship is unclear. Foreign direct investment appears to be the one area of mutual, sustained interest.

With economic trends getting worse and calls for US companies to bring production home growing louder, the future foundation for the US-China relationship is unclear. Foreign direct investment appears to be the one area of mutual, sustained interest.

3 Jan 2022 - 1:30AM
Opinion | What happens if the US-China phase one trade deal fails?

Based on available data, it is almost certain that China is not going to meet its import commitments. What comes next is going to be acrimonious and difficult to manage. But both sides should not destroy the benefits of the trade flows that still exist.

Based on available data, it is almost certain that China is not going to meet its import commitments. What comes next is going to be acrimonious and difficult to manage. But both sides should not destroy the benefits of the trade flows that still exist.

27 Nov 2021 - 3:30AM
Opinion | Climate change must make activists of us all, not just nations and business

Commitments made by countries and corporations are too weak to avert the looming disaster. The onus is on us, as members of societies facing the very real impacts of floods, fires and drought, to act as if our lives depend on it.

Commitments made by countries and corporations are too weak to avert the looming disaster. The onus is on us, as members of societies facing the very real impacts of floods, fires and drought, to act as if our lives depend on it.

24 Oct 2021 - 3:30AM
Opinion | America needs a clear trade policy amid China’s CPTPP challenge

If the US doesn’t improve opportunities, economic activity will flow to markets that are easier to access. For the US to truly build back better, it must build more with the rest of the world or the advantages of international trade will be lost.

If the US doesn’t improve opportunities, economic activity will flow to markets that are easier to access. For the US to truly build back better, it must build more with the rest of the world or the advantages of international trade will be lost.

22 Sep 2021 - 2:05AM
Opinion | Afghanistan and its extremist elements are China’s problem now

Despite the Taliban’s reassurances, Beijing’s options will remain limited if violence flares up. But giving the Taliban economic support also risks strengthening extremist groups such as ETIM.

Despite the Taliban’s reassurances, Beijing’s options will remain limited if violence flares up. But giving the Taliban economic support also risks strengthening extremist groups such as ETIM.

25 Aug 2021 - 1:00AM
Opinion | US-China relations: Joe Biden, Xi Jinping meeting still worthwhile despite rising tensions

Competition is neither new nor exclusionary to engagement. At most, a Biden-Xi meeting can set the lower limit for disagreements rather than aiming for the heights greater engagement brings, but that might be enough.

Competition is neither new nor exclusionary to engagement. At most, a Biden-Xi meeting can set the lower limit for disagreements rather than aiming for the heights greater engagement brings, but that might be enough.

24 Jun 2021 - 1:49AM
Opinion | Behind the drama in Alaska, US-China relations are really the same old story

The latest high-level meeting had plenty of drama, but the plot is growing stale. Neither side’s opening position has changed much in the past decade. From China’s perspective, unless the US treats China with ‘respect’, (the code word for not bringing up sensitive issues), relations won’t get much better.

The latest high-level meeting had plenty of drama, but the plot is growing stale. Neither side’s opening position has changed much in the past decade. From China’s perspective, unless the US treats China with ‘respect’, (the code word for not bringing up sensitive issues), relations won’t get much better.

25 Mar 2021 - 3:30AM
Opinion | US-China relations: door is open for Biden and Xi to move beyond Trump-era hostilities

Whether the US and China can forge agreements on broader coexistence is uncertain. Cautious pragmatism may be the best one can hope for while the dangers of miscalculation or worse continue to rein in more extreme views.

Whether the US and China can forge agreements on broader coexistence is uncertain. Cautious pragmatism may be the best one can hope for while the dangers of miscalculation or worse continue to rein in more extreme views.

9 Jan 2021 - 2:41AM
Opinion | US-China relations: climate change crisis can unite squabbling great powers

Unless the United States and China find a way to work together to address the most pressing issue of our time, a disaster scenario is almost impossible to avoid. Their climate change commitments must also not be linked to the contentious issues in the relationship.

Unless the United States and China find a way to work together to address the most pressing issue of our time, a disaster scenario is almost impossible to avoid. Their climate change commitments must also not be linked to the contentious issues in the relationship.

26 Dec 2020 - 6:09AM
Opinion | The great American experiment in democracy will survive Trump’s best efforts to end it

When Americans vote for their next president, amid legitimate fears of a disputed outcome leading to legal quagmires and even political violence, they know their political system will emerge stronger for meeting the challenge.

When Americans vote for their next president, amid legitimate fears of a disputed outcome leading to legal quagmires and even political violence, they know their political system will emerge stronger for meeting the challenge.

2 Nov 2020 - 1:54AM
Opinion | How China’s growing power and ambitions are burning the bridges of global cooperation

It isn’t that governments don’t understand China, it is that there’s a growing realisation that Beijing is willing to impose its vision on others. The need for engagement and dialogue has never been greater.

It isn’t that governments don’t understand China, it is that there’s a growing realisation that Beijing is willing to impose its vision on others. The need for engagement and dialogue has never been greater.

27 Sep 2020 - 7:36PM
Opinion | Right to vote: US must lead by example in presidential election to showcase its democracy

The Postmaster General’s attempt to suppress the vote has triggered public outrage, Congress scrutiny and state action to make mail voting more accessible amid a pandemic.

The Postmaster General’s attempt to suppress the vote has triggered public outrage, Congress scrutiny and state action to make mail voting more accessible amid a pandemic.

31 Aug 2020 - 2:04AM
Opinion | US’ tougher stance on the South China Sea is part of Trump’s re-election campaign

Trump’s team is using China as one of its lines of attack against the president’s opponent Joe Biden while capitalising on the growing realisation in the Asia-Pacific region that China’s expansionist plans must be countered.

Trump’s team is using China as one of its lines of attack against the president’s opponent Joe Biden while capitalising on the growing realisation in the Asia-Pacific region that China’s expansionist plans must be countered.

20 Jul 2020 - 9:00AM
Opinion | Why dreams of easy coronavirus recovery crumble in face of reality

The first wave of the pandemic is not yet over but politicians worldwide are declaring victory and rushing to reopen their economies. Lingering uncertainty, spreading recession and a lack of political will threaten to make even the current pessimistic predictions look rosy in hindsight

The first wave of the pandemic is not yet over but politicians worldwide are declaring victory and rushing to reopen their economies. Lingering uncertainty, spreading recession and a lack of political will threaten to make even the current pessimistic predictions look rosy in hindsight

13 Oct 2020 - 9:13PM
Opinion | Trump’s bluster over the coronavirus and China fails to do his re-election hopes any favours

All the US president’s heated rhetoric and cries of conspiracy cannot change his administration’s shortcomings in responding to the coronavirus outbreak. Smearing China and his Democratic rival merely divert energy from the most pressing issues.

All the US president’s heated rhetoric and cries of conspiracy cannot change his administration’s shortcomings in responding to the coronavirus outbreak. Smearing China and his Democratic rival merely divert energy from the most pressing issues.

27 May 2020 - 3:01AM
Opinion | How the coronavirus pandemic has trapped China’s Belt and Road Initiative between a rock and a hard place

Some of China’s principal loan recipients, with weak health systems and large populations, are going to be hard hit by the pandemic. Restructuring their debt will be no easy feat.

Some of China’s principal loan recipients, with weak health systems and large populations, are going to be hard hit by the pandemic. Restructuring their debt will be no easy feat.

21 Apr 2020 - 9:25AM
Opinion | Bungled, chaotic White House response to coronavirus discredits Trump, but won’t stop the US winning the Covid-19 fight

The US president’s apparent reluctance to use emergency powers to ramp up production of critical medical supplies and equipment puts lives at risk.

The US president’s apparent reluctance to use emergency powers to ramp up production of critical medical supplies and equipment puts lives at risk.

25 Mar 2020 - 3:37AM
Opinion | Coronavirus vs Trump: the US president’s authoritarian bluster has hit the cold, hard wall of a disease he can’t control

From the Trump administration’s disbanding of the National Security Council’s epidemic response team to the president’s garbled messaging and the convoluted organisation of his coronavirus task force, the buck will finally stop at the very top.

From the Trump administration’s disbanding of the National Security Council’s epidemic response team to the president’s garbled messaging and the convoluted organisation of his coronavirus task force, the buck will finally stop at the very top.

9 Mar 2020 - 1:00AM
Opinion | How China is losing global trust and goodwill over its handling of the coronavirus crisis

The crisis could have been a turning point in Beijing’s quest to be a reliable world power. Instead, a lack of transparency is poisoning the well of global goodwill and rekindling concerns about China’s influence over the WHO.

The crisis could have been a turning point in Beijing’s quest to be a reliable world power. Instead, a lack of transparency is poisoning the well of global goodwill and rekindling concerns about China’s influence over the WHO.

22 Feb 2020 - 3:33AM
Opinion | If China fails to contain the coronavirus outbreak, the price will be paid by all

The Chinese government must overcome its isolationist instincts and start sharing more information with health experts and scientists abroad, including those from the US. Greater transparency and cooperation are needed to tackle a looming global epidemic.

The Chinese government must overcome its isolationist instincts and start sharing more information with health experts and scientists abroad, including those from the US. Greater transparency and cooperation are needed to tackle a looming global epidemic.

15 Feb 2020 - 6:52PM
Opinion | Trump’s impulsive strike on Iran’s Qassem Soleimani lays bare America’s dangerously incoherent Middle East strategy

The strike, which achieved no strategic purpose, emboldens hardliners, destabilises the region and greatly raises the risk of war. Meanwhile, officials in Trump’s administration are already contradicting each other. This is how countries stumble into war.

The strike, which achieved no strategic purpose, emboldens hardliners, destabilises the region and greatly raises the risk of war. Meanwhile, officials in Trump’s administration are already contradicting each other. This is how countries stumble into war.

9 Jan 2020 - 11:16AM
Opinion | Trump’s ‘historic’ trade deal with China is a poor bargain for US businesses and consumers

The deal offers nothing new on the old talking points – IP, technology transfer, currency, agriculture, financial services, dispute resolution – but lets China off with promises of vague reform. US businesses and consumers have been left to continue footing the bill.

The deal offers nothing new on the old talking points – IP, technology transfer, currency, agriculture, financial services, dispute resolution – but lets China off with promises of vague reform. US businesses and consumers have been left to continue footing the bill.

19 Dec 2019 - 4:47AM
Opinion | Truth is, the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act changes nothing for protesters and their hopes

US sanctions have a poor record of spurring democractic and the threat of removing Hong Kong’s special status is unlikely to be carried out until the city is beyond rescue anyway. The act changes nothing, certainly not Hong Kong’s political tide.

US sanctions have a poor record of spurring democractic and the threat of removing Hong Kong’s special status is unlikely to be carried out until the city is beyond rescue anyway. The act changes nothing, certainly not Hong Kong’s political tide.

8 Dec 2019 - 10:00PM