Brian P. Klein

Brian P. Klein

Brian P. Klein, a former US. diplomat, is the founder and CEO of Decision Analytics, a NYC-based strategic advisory and political risk firm

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Latest from Brian P. Klein

Opinion | Trump’s impulsive strike on Iran’s Qassem Soleimani lays bare America’s dangerously incoherent Middle East strategy

The strike, which achieved no strategic purpose, emboldens hardliners, destabilises the region and greatly raises the risk of war. Meanwhile, officials in Trump’s administration are already contradicting each other. This is how countries stumble into war.

9 Jan 2020 - 11:16AM

The strike, which achieved no strategic purpose, emboldens hardliners, destabilises the region and greatly raises the risk of war. Meanwhile, officials in Trump’s administration are already contradicting each other. This is how countries stumble into war.

Trump’s impulsive strike on Iran’s Qassem Soleimani lays bare America’s dangerously incoherent Middle East strategy
Opinion | Trump’s ‘historic’ trade deal with China is a poor bargain for US businesses and consumers

The deal offers nothing new on the old talking points – IP, technology transfer, currency, agriculture, financial services, dispute resolution – but lets China off with promises of vague reform. US businesses and consumers have been left to continue footing the bill.

19 Dec 2019 - 4:47AM

The deal offers nothing new on the old talking points – IP, technology transfer, currency, agriculture, financial services, dispute resolution – but lets China off with promises of vague reform. US businesses and consumers have been left to continue footing the bill.

Trump’s ‘historic’ trade deal with China is a poor bargain for US businesses and consumers
Opinion | Truth is, the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act changes nothing for protesters and their hopes

US sanctions have a poor record of spurring democractic and the threat of removing Hong Kong’s special status is unlikely to be carried out until the city is beyond rescue anyway. The act changes nothing, certainly not Hong Kong’s political tide.

8 Dec 2019 - 10:00PM

US sanctions have a poor record of spurring democractic and the threat of removing Hong Kong’s special status is unlikely to be carried out until the city is beyond rescue anyway. The act changes nothing, certainly not Hong Kong’s political tide.

Truth is, the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act changes nothing for protesters and their hopes
Opinion | India’s shock RCEP exit makes domestic economic reforms more urgent

India’s economy needs reviving but after exiting the RCEP and with no US trade deal in sight, Modi’s few options revolve around economic reform – which threaten to be overshadowed by his focus on Hindu nationalism.

14 Nov 2019 - 6:55PM

India’s economy needs reviving but after exiting the RCEP and with no US trade deal in sight, Modi’s few options revolve around economic reform – which threaten to be overshadowed by his focus on Hindu nationalism.

India’s shock RCEP exit makes domestic economic reforms more urgent
Opinion | Donald Trump’s unhinged presidency has had severe consequences for Syria’s Kurds, and US allies in Asia should take note

Donald Trump’s abandonment of Syria’s Kurds shows how reckless he can be, especially while under fire over Ukraine. Asian allies should start preparing for rash decisions, and making friends in US Congress who can check his impulses.

24 Oct 2019 - 12:48PM

Donald Trump’s abandonment of Syria’s Kurds shows how reckless he can be, especially while under fire over Ukraine. Asian allies should start preparing for rash decisions, and making friends in US Congress who can check his impulses.

Donald Trump’s unhinged presidency has had severe consequences for Syria’s Kurds, and US allies in Asia should take note
Opinion | US exits world stage for now, as Donald Trump fights impeachment ahead of presidential election

If there was going to be a breakthrough year for US international engagement, this was it. But Trump’s globalist-bashing UN speech shows a president focused instead on political survival and re-election next year, with impeachment looming.

28 Sep 2019 - 2:06AM

If there was going to be a breakthrough year for US international engagement, this was it. But Trump’s globalist-bashing UN speech shows a president focused instead on political survival and re-election next year, with impeachment looming.

US exits world stage for now, as Donald Trump fights impeachment ahead of presidential election
Opinion | Hong Kong’s protesters can’t count on Donald Trump – he wants Asia to solve its own problems

Just as some young protesters have adopted the American flag as a symbol of their hopes, US Asia policy is changing. If the Trump administration’s stance on Korea is any indication, he will keep a hands-off approach to Hong Kong.

16 Sep 2019 - 3:26AM

Just as some young protesters have adopted the American flag as a symbol of their hopes, US Asia policy is changing. If the Trump administration’s stance on Korea is any indication, he will keep a hands-off approach to Hong Kong.

Hong Kong’s protesters can’t count on Donald Trump – he wants Asia to solve its own problems
Opinion | Donald Trump’s policy mood swings and trade chaos are making world leaders weary

China refuses to back down, Japan avoids affronts and Europe swings between facing off and totally ignoring Trump. With looming elections likely to make the US president even more unpredictable, the fear is that exasperated world leaders may be tempted to follow suit.

2 Sep 2019 - 1:24AM

China refuses to back down, Japan avoids affronts and Europe swings between facing off and totally ignoring Trump. With looming elections likely to make the US president even more unpredictable, the fear is that exasperated world leaders may be tempted to follow suit.

Donald Trump’s policy mood swings and trade chaos are making world leaders weary
Opinion | Is China ready for the burdens of global leadership as the US becomes increasingly isolationist?

With the belt and road project beleaguered by defaults, military expansion overseas racking up huge bills and China’s economy slowing, Beijing may well hesitate to fill the void left by the Trump administration.

19 Aug 2019 - 3:03AM

With the belt and road project beleaguered by defaults, military expansion overseas racking up huge bills and China’s economy slowing, Beijing may well hesitate to fill the void left by the Trump administration.

Is China ready for the burdens of global leadership as the US becomes increasingly isolationist?
Opinion | The Donald Trump diplomatic reality show is becoming a global menace

Trump’s historic meeting with Kim at the DMZ is yet another empty victory, achieving as little as his recent dealings with China and Iran. More worryingly, his haphazard politicking seems to be rubbing off on other global leaders.

6 Jul 2019 - 1:42AM

Trump’s historic meeting with Kim at the DMZ is yet another empty victory, achieving as little as his recent dealings with China and Iran. More worryingly, his haphazard politicking seems to be rubbing off on other global leaders.

The Donald Trump diplomatic reality show is becoming a global menace
Opinion | No trade war breakthrough? No problem – that Xi and Trump are meeting at the G20 should be seen as a win

Hopes of a big breakthrough must be tempered as both the US and China walk back expectations ahead of the summit. Neither side wants to appear weak or conciliatory, stark differences remain and, as such, a pause is the best we can hope for.

24 Jun 2019 - 1:07AM

Hopes of a big breakthrough must be tempered as both the US and China walk back expectations ahead of the summit. Neither side wants to appear weak or conciliatory, stark differences remain and, as such, a pause is the best we can hope for.

No trade war breakthrough? No problem – that Xi and Trump are meeting at the G20 should be seen as a win
Opinion | Hyping the US-China trade war into a cold war is misleading – it’s more complicated, and potentially more dangerous

Unlike in the cold war era, the world isn’t going to split into two sides this time. Instead, it is entering a chaotic period of unprincipled relationships, and countries caught between China and the US are being put on the spot.

12 Jun 2019 - 6:16AM

Unlike in the cold war era, the world isn’t going to split into two sides this time. Instead, it is entering a chaotic period of unprincipled relationships, and countries caught between China and the US are being put on the spot.

Hyping the US-China trade war into a cold war is misleading – it’s more complicated, and potentially more dangerous
Opinion | China’s pain on trade with the US will fast become Mexico, India and Southeast Asia’s gain

The impact of US tariffs on Chinese imports is already showing up in trade data, with Chinese manufacturers losing market share in top US sectors. American companies facing difficulties in China could look to India for opportunities instead.

20 May 2019 - 3:00AM

The impact of US tariffs on Chinese imports is already showing up in trade data, with Chinese manufacturers losing market share in top US sectors. American companies facing difficulties in China could look to India for opportunities instead.

China’s pain on trade with the US will fast become Mexico, India and Southeast Asia’s gain
Opinion | How China’s ‘maritime militia’ raises the stakes for clashes with the US in the South China Sea

Change in US military protocol means Chinese ‘militia’ and navy are treated the same, and skirmishes could quickly escalate into armed conflict. What is needed is an effective mechanism for the military powers to address their issues peacefully.

10 May 2019 - 4:52AM

Change in US military protocol means Chinese ‘militia’ and navy are treated the same, and skirmishes could quickly escalate into armed conflict. What is needed is an effective mechanism for the military powers to address their issues peacefully.

How China’s ‘maritime militia’ raises the stakes for clashes with the US in the South China Sea
Opinion | Donald Trump talks tough on Venezuela, but China, Russia and his own diplomatic isolation tie his hands

If the US wants to help the people suffering under the Maduro dictatorship, it should mend fences with allies its own president has offended, especially in Latin America.

10 Dec 2019 - 11:19PM

If the US wants to help the people suffering under the Maduro dictatorship, it should mend fences with allies its own president has offended, especially in Latin America.

Donald Trump talks tough on Venezuela, but China, Russia and his own diplomatic isolation tie his hands
Opinion | What the US will lose in a trade agreement with China, thanks to Donald Trump

Any gains the US can achieve – even with the best possible trade deal – will only be temporary. By forgoing the admittedly more arduous multilateral route through the World Trade Organisation, America is setting a terrible precedent.

10 Apr 2019 - 3:03AM

Any gains the US can achieve – even with the best possible trade deal – will only be temporary. By forgoing the admittedly more arduous multilateral route through the World Trade Organisation, America is setting a terrible precedent.

What the US will lose in a trade agreement with China, thanks to Donald Trump
Opinion | How Donald Trump can still engage North Korea without a focus on nuclear talks

The Trump administration has options for either engaging or containing the North, but should avoid the brinkmanship that marked 2017 and which could lead to disaster.

27 Mar 2019 - 8:51AM

The Trump administration has options for either engaging or containing the North, but should avoid the brinkmanship that marked 2017 and which could lead to disaster.

How Donald Trump can still engage North Korea without a focus on nuclear talks